Archive for the ‘Weekend Preview’ Category

Weekend Preview: Moviegoers Will Get Lost On Shutter Island

February 19, 2010

TBOJ is back in full force today, and it should stay that way for a while!  The video may be late, but I’m all done playing catch up.  This week, we only have one new film coming out, and that’s the highly anticipated Martin Scorsese picture Shutter Island, which should nab the top spot at the box office pretty easily.  To see my prediction for Shutter Island, as well as the rest of the Top 5, check out the video above.  Then, click below to see my full box office predictions for this weekend!

Box Office Predictions for February 19-21, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Shutter Island 2,991 $31 million
2 Valentine’s Day 3,665 $24 million
3 Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief 3,396 $20 million
4 Avatar 2,581 $18 million
5 The Wolfman 3,223 $15 million
6 Dear John 3,062 $8 million
7 Tooth Fairy 2,523 $4.4 million
8 Crazy Heart 1,089 $4.3 million
9 From Paris With Love 2,311 $3.8 million
10 Edge Of Darkness 2,118 $3.3 million

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Weekend Preview: Valentine’s Day Will Fight Off Greek Gods And Werewolves To Win The Weekend

February 12, 2010

Guys, I’m so sorry that I haven’t been on the ball with posting this week.  Things have been hectic.  I’m trying.  My Tuesday post didn’t exist, and Thursday’s was just a picture.  I’m sort of disappointed in myself, but I’m doing my best, and that’s all I can really do.  The blog won’t be updated this weekend, and the video (which is very short) explains all that.  Plus, you can check out my box office predictions for Valentine’s Day, Percy Jackson And The Olympians: The Lightning Thief, and The Wolfman by watching!  Have a great weekend everyone!

Weekend Preview: Dear John May Tackle Avatar Out Of The Top Spot During The Super Bowl

February 5, 2010

Could this finally be the week that Avatar rescinds the top spot on the chart?  I know I’ve asked that for the last few weeks, but the planets (Pandorum excluded) may be aligned in just the right way to push Avatar down to second place this frame.  The Super Bowl will draw males away from the theaters, and it may leave the romantic, female-targeting Dear John to take the box office by storm.  Still, Avatar hasn’t gone down yet, and there’s a good chance it will win the weekend again, so it’s going to be a fun, close one to watch!  The other newcomer, From Paris With Love, probably won’t have as much success, and the John Travolta action film will have a mid-level debut.  To hear my predictions of those new films, watch the video above.  As far as the holdovers go, drops are usually pretty small at this time of the year, though the Super Bowl will subtract a huge portion of audiences on Sunday.  It is also important to note that a massive snowstorm is expected on the East Coast this weekend (an estimated 28″ where I am!), which may also dampen grosses substantially.  Despite those forces working against the box office, though, the Oscar nominations and consequent expansions of many well-reviewed films should lead to some sturdy grosses in the lower rungs of the chart, especially from the Jeff Bridges showcase, Crazy Heart.  After you’ve watched the video above, check below for my full weekend prediction chart!

Box Office Predictions for February 5-7, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,000 $25 million
2 Dear John 3,066 $22.5 million
3 From Paris With Love 2,722 $15 million
4 Edge Of Darkness 3,066 $10 million
5 When In Rome 2,456 $7.5 million
6 Tooth Fairy 3,218 $7.2 million
7 The Book Of Eli 2,820 $4.6 million
8 Crazy Heart 819 $4 million
9 Legion 2,339 $3.4 million
10 Sherlock Holmes 1,805 $2.8 million

Weekend Preview: Edge Of Darkness Aims To Shoot Down Avatar; When In Rome Just Hopes That Somebody Will Love It

January 29, 2010

Fellow box office junkies, this could be it.  The time may have come.  We may actually have a movie that can take the #1 spot from Avatar.  Will it happen?  Probably not, but we can dream, right? This week, two new films are entering theaters, and they couldn’t be more different.  On the one hand, we’ve got the relatively well reviewed, R-rated, revenge thriller Edge Of Darkness, and on the other hand, we have the critically savaged romantic comedy When In Rome.  Despite the new openers, though, the box office should once again look pretty similar to last week, since 2010 really hasn’t produced any spectacularly box office performers yet.  Avatar will probably stay on top, though last week’s #2 movie, Legion, will plummet.  Tooth Fairy and Extraordinary Measures might hold a little bit better, but overall, this isn’t going to be the most exciting weekend at the movies.  To see my predictions of the new wide releases (and hear some analysis of Christian movie To Save A Life as well), watch the video above (it’s coming), and then check below for my full box office predictions.

Box Office Predictions for January 29-31, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,074 $28 million
2 Edge Of Darkness 3,066 $25 million
3 When In Rome 2,456 $9.2 million
4 Tooth Fairy 3,345 $9 million
5 The Book Of Eli 3,075 $8.8 million
6 Legion 2,476 $6.5 million
7 The Lovely Bones 2,638 $5 million
8 Sherlock Holmes 2,250 $4.4 million
9 Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 2,526 $4.1 million
10 It’s Complicated 2,096 $3.9 million

Weekend Preview: The Book Of Eli Prophesies (Guess What?) Another Winning Weekend For Avatar!

January 15, 2010

When we look at the first two weeks of 2010, we’ve seen some solid box office results, but they’ve been due primarily to the popular December releases.  This weekend, which is extended due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, it looks like 2010 might finally be starting to pull its weight.  The Book Of Eli, The Spy Next Door, and The Lovely Bones are all opening into wide releases, and each should find some alright results.  Still, none of them will be able to unseat Avatar at the top of the chart, and the sci-fi epic should see a fifth weekend of incredible revenue.  Overall, most holdovers should have very small drops this weekend, as MLK Day gives people the chance to stay out late on Sunday and hit the theaters on Monday as well.  Avatar should get very close to the $500 million mark over the four-day frame, while Sherlock Holmes and Alvin will each get closer to $200 million.  You can watch the video above for my predictions of the newcomers, and then check below for my full box office predictions for the four day weekend.

Box Office Predictions for January 15-18, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,285 $43 million
2 The Book Of Eli 3,111 $28 million
3 The Spy Next Door 2,924 $16.5 million
4 The Lovely Bones 2,563 $12.7 million
5 Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 3,296 $11.2 million
6 Sherlock Holmes 3,173 $10.9 million
7 Daybreakers 2,523 $8.2 million
8 It’s Complicated 2,670 $7.5 million
9 Leap Year 2,512 $6.2 million
10 The Blind Side 2,408 $5.9 million

Weekend Preview: Daybreakers, Leap Year, And Youth In Revolt Unlikely To Dethrone December Triumvirate

January 8, 2010

After a week of no new releases, three films enter theaters today.  We’ve got the vampire thriller Daybreakers, the romantic comedy Leap Year, and the sex comedy Youth In Revolt.  While at least two of these films should fare pretty well at the box office, none of them are likely to dethrone the ├╝ber-popular triumvirate of Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, and Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel, which have been unstoppable since late December.  Now that the holidays are officially over, expect drops in the 50% range for most returning films, though Avatar should see a bit softer of a fall, as it’s becoming quite the phenomenon around the world.  Check out the video above to hear my predictions for the newcomers, then check out the chart below to see my full weekend forecast:

Box Office Predictions for January 8-10, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,326 $42.5 million
2 Sherlock Holmes 4,124 $18 million
3 Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 2,088 $17 million
4 Daybreakers 2,133 $15 million
5 Leap Year 2,546 $12 million
6 It’s Complicated 3,220 $8.8 million
7 Youth In Revolt 3,425 $6.2 million
8 The Blind Side 1,915 $6 million
9 Up In The Air 2,503 $5.6 million
10 Planet 51 2,904 $5.1 million

Weekend Preview: Avatar Is Finally Here! But Don’t Forget The Morgans!

December 18, 2009

Alright, because I love you all (and because I am really tired of studying for this exam), I’m going to break my self-inflicted silence and give you two quick box office predictions for Avatar and Did You Hear About The Morgans?.

Avatar

Fanboy demand means people want to see this right away.  The holidays, however have the opposite effect, and while they inflate grosses in the long run, they soften openings.  Thus, the sci-fi epic should have a solid, but not mind-blowing debut.  Still, with great reviews and pervasive media exposure, this has very effectively turned around its early negative buzz.  People, self-included, are genuinely excited to see Avatar.  I’ll give James Cameron’s Na’vi spectacle a $68 million opening weekend.

Did You Hear About The Morgans?

The reviews are horrendous, but I actually think the trailer for this romantic comedy was great.  It’s got a clear female appeal, so it should act as counter-programming to Avatar, and it’s going after a middle-American crowd with the simple theme of country vs. city.  Critics may hate it, but I think that a large percentage of America likes this kind of story!  Other analysts are saying this won’t even break $10 million, but I think that’s ridiculous.  Sarah Jessica Parker and Hugh Grant are both solid draws within this genre.  A $16 million weekend seems about right to me.

Weekend Preview: Princess And The Frog Should Leap To #1; Delays…

December 11, 2009


My predictions are at the tail end of the video, but that’s all I’ve got for now. I really need to work. After a week of real-world work, I’ll re-focus here. Thanks for being patient, guys.

Weekend Preview: Everybody’s Fine, Brothers, and Armored Won’t Tackle The Blind Side

December 4, 2009

The weekend after Thanksgiving is traditionally a pretty slow one at the box office, and this year shouldn’t be any different, though the addition of four new releases should add some depth to the frame.  Opening this week is Everybody’s Fine, Armored, Brothers, and Transylmania, which was getting a wide release but has since been reported as having just a limited one. (By the way, let me just say that I love one-word movie titles because they are so easy to highlight!)  It’s very unlikely that any of these newcomers will be able to take down New Moon or The Blind Side, which should trade spots atop the chart this week.  To hear my predictions for this week’s new releases, simply watch the video above, then check the chart below to see my full predictions for the week.

Box Office Predictions for December 4-6, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 The Blind Side 3,326 $23 million
2 The Twilight Saga: New Moon 4,124 $18 million
3 Brothers 2,088 $11 million
4 Everybody’s Fine 2,133 $9 million
5 A Christmas Carol 2,546 $8.6 million
6 2012 3,220 $7.7 million
7 Old Dogs 3,425 $7.3 million
8 Armored 1,915 $7 million
9 Ninja Assassin 2,503 $5.3 million
10 Planet 51 2,904 $5.1 million

Weekend Preview: New Moon And The Blind Side Will (Ninja) Assassinate Old Dogs And Mr. Fox

November 27, 2009

Thanksgiving Weekend is typically one of the best weekends each year at the box office.  Parents are off of work, kids are out of school, and families are already together, and studios usually have a large selection of high profile releases to please audiences.  There’s usually a lot of money flowing this weekend, and films often see very small drops, and occasionally even increase.  Thanksgiving Weekend really kicks off the holiday season at the box office, and while the movies will cool off a bit until mid-December, when people start having time off again, expect many of the titles you see over this frame to stick around for a while and continue earning money.  This year, between new releases (Old Dogs, Ninja Assassin, Fantastic Mr. Fox, and The Road), and some strong holdovers (New Moon and The Blind Side), there’s going to be a tremendous amount of depth at the box office, though it’s the returning films that are the real story this weekend.  You can see my weekend box office predictions (including a potentially crazy prediction for the number two film)  in the video above and then check below for the full prediction chart:

Box Office Predictions for November 27-29, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 The Twilight Saga: New Moon 4,042 $55 million
2 The Blind Side 3,140 $38 million
3 Old Dogs 3,425 $22 million
4 2012 3,444 $21 million
5 A Christmas Carol 3,013 $12 million
6 Ninja Assassin 2,503 $12 million
7 Precious 663 $9.3 million
8 Planet 51 3,035 $8.5 million
9 Fantastic Mr. Fox 2,033 $7 million
10 The Road 111 $2.2 million