Archive for the ‘Vin Diesel’ Category

Fast, Furious, And Front-Loaded

April 9, 2009

Current chart-topper, Fast And Furious, earned $30.5 million on its first Friday, on the way to a massive $70.9 million in its opening weekend. That represents a pretty low internal multiplier of 2.32. For those uninitiated to internal multipliers, they are calculated by simply dividing the total weekend gross by the Friday gross. So in this case, $70.9 million/$30.5 million = 2.32 internal multiplier. In general, a fairly typical internal multiplier is about 3.0. Often you’ll see a family film garner a higher multiplier of about 3.5-4.0, and often you’ll see teen and horror films earn something closer to a 2.0-2.5. These internal multipliers are helpful in figuring out the overall multiplier for a film, which is the total gross divided by the opening weekend. (For example, if a film earns $75 million total after opening to $25 million, it would have a multiplier of 3.0, which is again the standard multiplier for most movies.) Internal multipliers pretty much match up with overall multipliers, so I’d expect something around a 2.3 multiplier for Fast And Furious, giving it about $165-170 million when all is said and done.

I only bring this up because I was looking at the Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday box office for Fast And Furious (found right here), and it’s front-loadedness is already quite apparent. Whereas most films saw a 10% increase on Tuesday, F&F fell 9%, and when the rest of the pack fell about 6% on Wednesday, F&F fell 17%. A lot of this is due to the fact that the film opened so huge, and trust me, Universal is more than satisfied with the amount of money Vin Diesel and Paul Walker are raking in, but I expect it to fall pretty quickly from here.

How much do you think Fast And Furious will earn overall?


Weekend Preview: Will Fast And Furious Race To Victory Or Stall Out Of The Gate?

April 3, 2009

After last weekend’s monster debut of Monsters Vs. Aliens, two more high profile titles are being released, and at least one of them should add some major heft to the Spring box office season.

The big new release of the weekend is Universal’s Fast And Furious, the car-chasing sequel that finally reunites the original cast of 2001’s The Fast And The Furious. The original (article-laden) title grossed $144 million. The 2003 sequel, 2 Fast 2 Furious, which did not star Vin Diesel, still managed to rake in $127 million. But the 2006 franchise entry, Fast And The Furious: Tokyo Drift, which featured neither Diesel or Paul Walker, could only muster $62 million in its release. It appears that audiences weren’t ready to move on without the original cast, and luckily for audiences, neither were the actors’ careers ready to move on without the Fast And Furious franchise. Thus, the cast has been reassembled, and Walker and Diesel are joined by Michele Rodriguez and Jordana Brewster for the big budget actionfest. Advertising has been very strong, and if there were ever a year that a movie with a ton of ridiculous explosions would succeed, it’s 2009, but I just can’t help but feel like interest hasn’t come to boil the way Universal hoped it would. As someone who was legitimately very excited to see Fast And Furious, there doesn’t seem to be a great amount of building excitement and anticipation. Have audiences moved on? I’m not sure. All I know is that this should easily surpass Tokyo Drift‘s opening, but I don’t think it can match 2 Fast 2 Furious‘ massive $50 million debut. Maybe the awful reviews have me feeling disenchanted, but I’m going to predict on the lower end of expectations, giving F&F a $38 million debut.

The other new release this weekend is Miramax’s Adventureland, a teen comedy that looks somewhere between Nick And Nora’s Infinite Playlist, Juno, and Superbad. The cast is great, reviews are great, but Adventureland faces a big problem with its R rating, which will keep out younger teens form watching the film. This represents a considerable challenge for star Kristin Stewart, who’s Twilight fans may not be able to access her in this film. Still, this is a movie made for movie-geeks, so there should be a modest audience for the film. Debuting in 1,862 theaters, the comedy might scoop up about $10 million.

As far as holdovers go, Monsters Vs. Aliens should decline about 40% to $34 million, which would push it over the century mark. The 3-D animated film still represents the top choice for families over the weekend frame. The Haunting In Connecticut should follow the typical horror route, dropping about 60% to $9.5 million. A bit lower down on the chart, indie fave Sunshine Cleaning sees its theater count expand from 167 to 469, so it’s box office should rise nicely. Here is my full forecast:

Predicted Top 12 for April 3-5, 2009
1. Fast And Furious – $38 million
2. Monsters Vs. Aliens – $34 million
3. Adventurelan – $10 million
4. The Haunting In Connecticut – $9.5 million
5. I Love You, Man – $8 million
6. Knowing – $7.5 million
7. Duplicity – $4 million
8. Race To Witch Mountain – $3.1 million
9. 12 Rounds – $2.6 million
10. Sunshine Cleaning – $2.5 million
11. Taken – $1.8 million
12. Watchmen – 1.4 million

What do you think? Am I way off or right on the money? Let me know what you think of my predictions, then make your own in the comments!

Early Reviews Are Coming In, And It Ain’t Pretty For Fast And Furious

April 1, 2009

I don’t want to believe it! Fast And Furious is currently sitting with a whopping 0% positive reviews on RT. I mean, I never thought it was going to be great, but this is looking like its going to be disastrous. Also, I have not seen nearly enough ads lately to convince me that Universal has any hope in this title. Its box office prospects (and general interest) are going way down in my book, especially when the increasingly intriguing Adventureland is pulling in amazing critical response.

What’s your top pick for the weekend? Adventureland or Fast And Furious? Sound off in the comments!

The Top 5 Most Awesomely Bad Films Starring The Cast Of "Fast And Furious"

March 31, 2009

List Wednesday (on Tuesday) is here! I’ve never backed off from saying that I’m pretty excited for this weekend’s “Fast And Furious,” the eight-years-later sequel to 2001’s The Fast And The Furious that finally reunites the original cast. The main three players in the film, Vin Diesel, Paul Walker, and Michelle Rodriguez, were probably thrilled when their agents called them and offered these roles, because their careers haven’t exactly been on fire lately. In fact, they’ve made some downright bad movies in the last few years. Read my list of the casts’ Top 5 Most Awesomely Bad Films, and then let me know what additions or subtractions you might make in the comments:

5. Running Scared
I actually kind of like this Paul Walker movie, even if it is so frenetic it made my head hurt. The energy is turned up to an all time max, and it’s confusing to know what’s going on, and the film certainly isn’t good, but whatever, the implausible plot and action are rather entertaining.

4. The Pacifier
The gimmick of this comedy was supposed to be that Vin Diesel was this huge action star that had been made into a nanny. Think Kindergarten Cop. It would have worked better had Diesel had more action films than just XXX and The Fast And The Furious on his resume. It also would have worked better had it been funny. I still remember the Peter Panda Dance, though…

3. Chronicles of Riddick
I think I saw part of this on USA one night, probably in between airings of Legally Blonde and The Replacements. Riddick was so dark, bizarre, and confusing, that it really wasn’t any fun to watch, and the dialogue was laughably cheesy. This sci-fi does get style points, though.

2. Into The Blue
Paul Walker and Jessica Alba as treasure hunters wearing kiddie snorkel gear. This wouldn’t have made it to $20 million at the box office without Jessica Alba in a bikini. Thank goodness for the horndogs of the world!

1. BloodRayne
Michelle Rodriguez, what went wrong in 2005? You get a DUI, you get killed off of Lost the same season you’re introduced because everyone hates your character, and then you star in this dreck by Uwe Boll! Why do people let this man make movies?

The Original Cast Is Back For "Fast And Furious." Can They Rev Up The Franchise?

January 15, 2009

“Original Parts, New Model.” This is the tagline that runs at the end of the new trailer for Universal’s Fast And Furious, the fourth installment in the popular (to varying degrees) street racing franchise. For this one, the original cast of The Fast And The Furious has come back, and at this point in their careers, they’re sort of a motley crew of former stars. We have Vin Diesel, who turned his back on the franchise after the first film, but is now desperately in need of a hit, considering his last success was 2005’s Disney film The Pacifier ($113 million). I guess that’s what you get when you bite the hand that feeds you… Also returning is Paul Walker. Though Walker appeared in 2 Fast 2 Furious, he did not appear in The Fast And The Furious: Tokyo Drift, and his career has stalled since 2006’s Eight Below ($81 million). Finally we have, Michelle Rodriguez, who seems to have replaced her headshots with mugshots in the last few years, after getting killed off of Lost. Suffice it to say, these three actors could use some box office success. But will they be able to fight off the diminishing returns the franchise has witnessed over the years? Take a look at what I mean:

2001 – The Fast And The Furious – $144 million

This was a nice surprise for Universal, as the film only cost $38 million to produce. The breakout hit put Vin Diesel on the map, and took Paul Walker out of his high school stage after She’s All That and Varsity Blues. A franchise was born.

2003 – 2 Fast 2 Furious – $127 million

Although the budget doubled to $76 million, people had trouble getting as excited about a sequel that was missing one of the main characters, since Vin Diesel did not return. Although, 2 Fast 2 Furious did give us Eva Mendes, so I can’t be too hard on it…

2007 – The Fast And The Furious: Tokyo Drift – $62 million

Universal’s attempt to relaunch the franchise with new face Lucas Black did not work out so well, and the third installment, which featured none of the original cast, grossed less than half of its predecessor. People did praise director Justin Lin for some eye-popping chase scenes, though.

Personally, I’m rooting for them! Maybe it’s because I was 12 years old, and finally allowed to go to the movies by myself, when The Fast And The Furious came out, but I just can’t help but support this franchise. (I think there is something about entertainment you watch between the ages of 8 and 13 that makes you ever-nostalgic for it. Power Rangers, Lizzie McGuire, where have you gone?) These films don’t take themselves too seriously, the chase scenes are pretty amazing, stuff blows up, the dialogue is ridiculous, I have a ton fun, and now I’m finding myself so excited that the original cast is back. Fast And Furious has wisely chosen a Spring release date of April 3, 2009, away from the crowded Summer action slate, and Tokyo Drift director, Justin Lin, has returned to helm the reboot. The stars seems to be aligned for a speedy (hah!) comeback, and I think that Fast And Furious be headed for at least $100 million, and probably more. Vin, Paul, Michelle, you’re going to get your careers back on track because I know there are other people out there who are just as excited as me! Right?! Right? …right? …..oh gosh, this is embarrassing.