Archive for the ‘The Informant’ Category
Early Friday Estimates are in, so come on in here and see how the weekend box office is shaping up!
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs
It looks like Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs will being sitting on top of the box office again this weekend. With $5.5 million on Friday, expect the weekend multiplier to be very strong, since this is a family movie, which tend to thrive on Saturdays and Sundays. Cloudy could be headed for a $20 million weekend.
The Buena Vista thriller found $5.1 million on Friday. It should finish right in line with my prediction, earning about $15 million over the weekend frame.
The musical remake couldn’t live up to its name, scoring a mere $3.8 million on Friday. This has to be disappointing result for MGM. Give it $10 million for the weekend.
This held up very well this weekend, earning $2.2 million on Friday. A $7 million weekend seems to be in store for the Matt Damon film.
Dennis Quaid’s sci-fi film undercut my already low prediction. With $1.5 million on Friday, Pandorum can probably only beam up $4.4 million this weekend.
Here are the estimates from Steve Mason’s SMOG.
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES FOR 9/25-27
1. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (Sony) – $5.5M
2. Surrogates (Disney) – $5.1M
3. Fame (MGM) – $3.8M
4. The Informant! (Warner Bros) – $2.2M
5. I Can Do Bad All By Myself (Lionsgate) – $1.65M
6. Pandorum (Overture) – $1.5M
Be sure to check back here on Sunday for the Weekend Fix, where you can watch my video recap of this weekend’s box office. BTW, you can see my YouTube channel here. There you can subscribe to my videos to see them as soon as their posted.
The final weekend of September marks the end of the dreck that studios dump upon the moviegoing public and the official start to the Fall box office season. This week, Surrogates, Fame, and Pandorum (all one word titles…interesting) hit theaters, but really, only Surrogates has a shot at the top spot.
Alright, I address the new releases in the video above, so let me take a brief moment to discuss holdovers. With no competition in sight, and very positive word-of-mouth on its side, Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs should see a very soft decline of around the 33%. The Informant, because it caters to an adult audience will not see too harsh of a weekend drop, but its box office performance has already proven fairly underwhelming. A 45% drop would give it $6.2 million for the weekend. Love Happens will continue to prove that romantic comedies, no matter how bad they are, usually hold up well week-to-week at the box office. A 40% drop would give the Jennifer Aniston sobfest $5.2 million for the weekend. Jennifer’s Body would probably see a drop of about 60%, but it’s adding138 theaters to its count, which will soften the blow a bit. A 55% drop will give the Megan Fox horror comedy $3.2 million. Here’s the full chart:
Box Office Predictions for September 25-27, 2009
|Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs||3,119||$20 million|
|The Informant!||2,505||$6.2 million|
|Love Happens||1,898||$5.2 million|
|I Can Do Bad All By Myself||2,120||$4.9 million|
|Jennifer’s Body||2,738||$3.2 million|
|Inglorious Basterds||1,960||$2.3 million|
Here are your box office estimates for Friday September 18:
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs had a solid first day with $8.1 million, and it seems headed for a $27 million weekend. The Informant! fared pretty well with $3.7 million on Friday, and a $10.8 million weekend seems in order. Jennifer Aniston’s Love Happens found $3.1 million, while Megan Fox’s Jennifer’s Body earned $2.8 million on Friday, but Jennifer’s Body is sure to be frontloaded. Give Love Happens $9 million for the weekend, while Body might find $6.8 million.
Friday Estimates for September 18, 2009
1. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $8.1 million
2. The Informant – $3.7 million
3. I Can Do Bad All By Myself – $3.1 million
4. Love Happens – $3.1 million
5. Jennifer’s Body – $2.8 million
6. 9 – $1.6 million
7. Inglorious Basterds – $1.2 million
8. All About Steve – $1.1 million
9. Sorority Row – $850,000
10. The Final Destination – $740,000
11. Whiteout – $665,000
12. Julie And Julia – $590,000
What do you think about these results? Let me hear your reactions in the comments!
Four new films hit theaters this weekend, and contrary to the usual September box office behavior, we’ve got some high profile, well promoted pictures flying onto the screen. Sony is bringing us an animated adaptation of the famous childrens book, Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs. Fox has the Megan Fox horror film, Jennifer’s Body. Warner Brothers is premiering the Matt Damon vehicle, The Informant!. And Universal is debuting a schmaltzy romantic (comedic?) film, Love Happens. Along with solid holdovers from Tyler Perry’s I Can Do Bad All By Myself and 9, it should be a lively weekend at the box office, which makes my job fun! Here are my predictions:
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – 3,119 theaters – $27 million
1. This is based on a popular childrens book. Movies that are based on books have built in audiences, which helps box office a lot, but a movie with a built in kids audience is even better because it drags parents into the theater.
2. Advertising has been strong, the premise is fun, and reviews are great. All of these things will help the box office.
3. Isn’t it kind of nice to just get a nice, normal computer animated film? None of this 3-D mumbo jumbo. Imagine how refreshing it will be when Disney debuts The Princess And The Frog later this year and we get nice, normal traditional animation!
Jennifer’s Body – 2,701 theaters – $13 million
1. Some analysts have this earning more, but I’m not convinced that Megan Fox is actually a box office draw. Guys love to see her in the Transformers movies, but that’s like saying Keira Knightley is the reason guys saw the Pirates of the Caribbean films. Action and adventure will get men into the seats, and though they’ll gobble up the gorgeous women selling themselves on the screen, I don’t believe that is the main drawing factor. Fox has yet to prove she can open a movie, and as Sorority Row taught us last week, hot girls aren’t enough to make something a box office hit.
2. In the film, Megan Fox becomes some sort of zombie, but the advertisements make her look more like some sort of vampire. I’m sure this is intentional, as vampires are the new penguins in terms of consumer appeal, and it will probably help a bit.
3. R Ratings are not good for box office. Especially for a movie headlined by someone with a very young fanbase.
The Informant! – 2,505 theaters – $12.5 million
1. I’m not going to lie. I had heard nothing about this movie until last week, but it looks like it’s being marketed as a Coen Brothers-style farce by Steven Soderbergh.
2. Matt Damon is another star who has yet to prove himself as a box office draw outside of the Bourne and Oceans franchises. Still, he’s reached a certain level of celebrity in the last two years. You know, the kind where you can go on any late night talk show whenever you want. The kind where you can get on the cover of People without any movie to promote. It’s called the A-list, and while Damon is no Brad Pitt, he’ll certainly bring some crowds to the theater.
3. Calling your movie The Informant! instantly places it into the realm of politics. Movies about politics are tough sells, especially these days, when people have just about had enough of our own government. The subject matter is the biggest negative to this film’s box office.
Love Happens – 1,898 theaters – $12 million
1. The reviews are terrible, the title is horrendous, and the theater count is pretty low. But this is a romance, and romances are review-proof. If P.S. I Love You can make $53 million, then I simply can’t believe that this, a film with much more star power, will flop.
2. Jennifer Aniston is a box office draw. She proved it with Marley And Me, The Break Up, and He’s Just Not That Into You. People don’t give her the credit she deserves
3. Nights In Rodanthe opened in late September last year to $13.4 million, but that movie looked more romantic and less dour, so I think Love Happens will perform similarly.
Tyler Perry’s I Can Do Bad All By Myself will plummet this weekend, as all Tyler Perry films do in their second weekend. Don’t be surprised if it undercuts by $10 million prediction. 9, meanwhile adds 399 theaters, to bring its venue count to 2,060. That should soften it’s second weekend decline, giving it a $6.3 million weekend. Here are the full box office predictions:
Box Office Predictions for September 18-20, 2009
1. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $27 million
2. Jennifer’s Body – $13 million
3. The Informant! – $12.5 million
4. Love Happens – $12 million
5. I Can Do Bad All By Myself – $10 million
6. 9 – $6.3 million
7. Inglorious Basterds – $3.6 million
8. All About Steve – $2.7 million
9. The Final Destination – $2.4 million
10. Whiteout – $2.2 million
What are your predictions? And what do you think of mine? Let me know in the comments!
We’re getting bitch-slapped with new trailers today, so it’s a good thing we’re masochists.
I have a funny confession. I’ve seen stuff about this movie pop up from time to time, and completely and utterly ignored it. Why? Because I thought The Informant starring Matt Damon was going to be another typical thriller film starring Matt Damon. The title definitely had me thinking more action suspense than funny comedy. I wasn’t the only one either, apparently many other people have made the mistake. But it looks hilarious, reminiscent of the Coen Brothers ‘serious comedies,’ most recently Burn After Reading, a brilliant and hysterical movie.
I also approve of Matt Damon in the comedy role (which is good, I know he was seeking my approval). He was great in the Ocean’s Eleven series (even the horrific disaster that was the second movie), and I thought he and Greg Kinnear were great in Stuck On You. The Informant looks like it’s pumping some intelligence into the ‘idiot has to play reconnaissance’ gag, and it looks like they did it successfully.
Four times the couple, four times the rom-com. If nothing else, this movie has a stellar cast. Vince Vaughn and Jon Favreau play off each other very well, and Jason Bateman has gained some humor cred in the TV show Arrested Development. Malin Akerman is a rising star (a rather attractive rising star) who has been seen in two big films this year, Watchmen and The Proposal. Kristin Bell has a rather incredible mix of the ‘cute,’ ‘hot,’ and ‘beautiful’ tenents that come with female attractiveness. And Kristin Davis, of Sex and the City fame, is a talented actres, and pretty damn good looking for a forty-four year old (or thirty-four year old, for that matter). The last couple are of the unknown variety, but they’re played by and Faizon Love and Kalie Hawk.
The only trick here is juggling all four couples (8 leads) effectively, without obfuscating the plot too much (I’ve been trying to fit that word in for weeks now). But overall it looks like a decent premise.
Alvin and the Chipmunks 2: The Squeakquel
You read that right. Yes they are making a sequel to Alvin and the Chipmunks, the surprise box-office success, and yes some assclown decided to subtitle it “The Squeakquel.” Those are the most adorable things I think I’ve ever wanted to strangle.
Biggest mystery ever: the Chipmunks are actually voiced by some well known actors: Justin Long, Matthew Gray Gubler, Jesse McCartney, Anna Farris, Christina Applegate, and Amy Poehler. The females especially are bringing some celebrity clout. The mystery: why? They’re just going to distort their voices and throw them up 12 octaves anyway, why not just have one person do all six? Oh well.