Archive for the ‘Monsters Vs. Aliens’ Category

The 3D Conspiracy: More Reasons I Hate 3D, And Why You Should Too!

January 14, 2010

In my time as a movie blogger, I’ve never shied away from my dislike of 3D.  (You may remember this post that I did a while ago.)  Well, a lot of people ask me what my big problem with 3D is, and I wanted to more fully explain myself.  Thus, I’ve spent the last week putting together the above video, and I hope you enjoy “The 3D Conspiracy!”  It’s full of lots of reasons I don’t like 3D, so just consider it the equivalent of a Wednesday List!

Advertisements

DVD Sales: The Proposal Wins, Land Of The Lost Loses

October 28, 2009

Another week, another DVD Sales Chart!  Hot on the heels of the huge debuts of Wolverine and Monsters Vs. Aliens, we had yet another blockbuster debut this week, but this time it was females who drove this one to the top.  Click on inside to keep reading my DVD Sales Notes…

DVD Sales Notes:

-Sandra Bullock flexes her star power once again as The Proposal sells a huge 2.4 million DVDs in its first week for a $39.3 million total! For an already successful movie that grossed $163.9 million, this is a fantastic result, and it shows that romantic comedies, if they’re good enough and have the right stars, are still a hot commodity.

-Just as Land Of The Lost was ignored in theaters, its DVD debut is equally inauspicious with a $7.4 million sales week.  The Will Ferrell movie that never took off only made $49.4 million in theaters, though it carried a huge $100 million budget.

Trick ‘r Treat‘s release is confusing to me.  According to reviews, it’s good.  But it’s available almost nowhere, and it received no promotion, so I’m not sure what Warner Brothers is doing with it.  All I know is that it should probably be earning more than the $2 million its earned after two weeks…

-On the TV front, It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia: Season 4 and Bones: The Complete Fourth Season are both doing pretty well on DVD, as each show passed the $10 million mark in sales this week.

-Once again, the Halloween effect is in full force this week.  (Except with the debut of Drag Me To Hell! Why won’t people watch this movie- it’s great!)  If you need proof, look no further that Hocus Pocus‘ #14 re-entry onto the chart!

Top DVD Sales for the Week Ending October 18, 2009
# Title Units this Week % Chg Total Units Sales this Week Total Sales Wks
1 The Proposal 2,413,215 -.-% 2,413,215 $39,261,077 $39,261,077 1
2 Land of the Lost 460,924 -.-% 460,924 $7,370,175 $7,370,175 1
3 Monsters vs. Aliens 380,564 -46.4% 3,326,567 $6,744,774 $58,075,082 3
4 Drag Me to Hell 341,229 -.-% 341,229 $5,797,481 $5,797,481 1
5 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 177,854 -3.1% 3,697,164 $2,748,076 $62,869,550 5
6 Year One 148,654 -56.6% 491,556 $2,376,977 $7,859,980 2
7 Hannah Montana The Movie 107,388 13.7% 2,632,023 $1,624,780 $45,431,718 9
8 Katt Williams: Pimpadelic 97,494 -.-% 97,494 $1,656,423 $1,656,423 1
9 The Wizard of Oz 79,395 -34.9% $1,468,014 656
10 Edward Scissorhands 76,982 -14.0% $805,586 476
11 Ghosts of Girlfriends Past 73,603 -27.7% 913,902 $1,397,721 $16,104,058 4
12 Corpse Bride, The 73,362 -28.8% $402,757 194
13 Spookley the Square Pumpkin 68,535 -14.8% $641,261 215
14 Hocus Pocus 64,433 -.-% $385,954 385
15 It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia: Season 4 62,985 -.-% 411,649 $1,573,995 $10,644,577 5
16 Bones: The Complete Fourth Season 62,502 -70.5% 274,623 $2,343,200 $10,189,556 2
17 Dr. Seuss – Green Eggs and Ham and Other Favorites 62,261 -25.5% $404,074 315
18 Legend of the Seeker: The Complete First Season 60,572 -.-% 60,572 $1,937,698 $1,937,698 1
19 Clifford the Big Red Dog: Clifford’s Big Halloween 60,330 -22.8% 199,057 $512,202 $1,689,994 162
20 My Life in Ruins 58,882 -55.4% 190,871 $1,177,051 $3,815,511 2
21 Break-Up, The 57,435 -23.6% 3,120,825 $466,085 $51,548,518 157
22 Coraline 53,091 -4.4% 2,088,101 $825,103 $38,144,080 13
23 Race to Witch Mountain 50,678 -21.4% 1,586,609 $828,347 $28,766,644 11
24 Bring It On: Fight to the Finish 47,782 -21.1% 624,910 $716,252 $10,903,483 7
25 Observe and Report 45,610 -37.5% 438,837 $911,744 $8,110,879 4
26 Trick ‘r Treat 43,438 -53.3% 136,356 $651,136 $2,043,976 2
27 Barbie and the Three Musketeers 42,473 -26.5% 730,153 $636,670 $10,601,492 5
28 The Sandlot 38,989 -42.2% $279,575 403
29 Management 35,681 -.-% 118,931 $713,263 $2,377,431 3
30 Crank 2: High Voltage 35,474 -24.5% 624,346 $667,110 $11,336,000 6

DVD Sales: Monsters Repeats On Top; Year One Has A Poor Week One; Halloween Titles Flourish

October 20, 2009
I won’t lie to you- it was a pretty slow week on the Home Market, and the chart looks fairly similar to last week, but there are a couple of surprises, and some of them are just so random, I don’t even know what to think!  Take a look inside for my DVD Sales Notes and the full DVD Sales Chart:

DVD Sales Notes

Monsters Vs. Aliens repeats its reign on top of the chart this week, adding an additional $12.6 million to its gross.  In two weeks, it’s sold just under 3 million copies, giving it a smokin’ $51.5 million total.

-Unfortunately for Year One, the crass caveman comedy starring Jack Black and Michael Cera, did as poorly in its first week on DVD as it did in theaters.  Year One sold 348,954 copies, for a sad total of just $5.6 million.

-The impressive TV-on-DVD performer of the week is Bones: The Complete Fourth Season, which earned about $8 million in its first week.  For a procedural show, this is pretty great!

The Cat In The HatMatilda?!  THE SANDLOT?!?!  Am I ten years old again?  Are we seeing an early Christmas shopping effect?  I mean, these titles are just too random to reappear on the chart, and other things like Race To Witch Mountain, Gran Torino, and Bring It On: Fight To The Finish saw solid increases, as well.  Maybe these all got  re-releases that I didn’t know about, but I’m calling early Christmas sales.  The Break Up has to be the most random thing on that chart, though.  I guess Vince Vaughn’s turn in Couples Retreat inspired people to go check out this 2006 title.

-Whether or not we’re seing any kind of Christmas effect, we’re definitely starting to see a major Halloween effect on the home market.  The Corpse Bride, almost 4 years after its original release found $538,507 this week, good for eighth place among all DVDs.  Trick ‘r Treat, the direct-to-DVD feature starring Anna Paquin, earned $1.4 million.  This must have been bad- Warner Bros. didn’t even try to promote it.  Other spooky movies that are benefiting from the Halloween effect include Edward Scissorhands (+24%), Spookley The Square Pumpkin (+29%), Clifford’s Big Halloween (+33%), and Coraline (+6%). 

Check out the full chart below:

Top DVD Sales for the Week Ending October 11, 2009
# Title Units this Week % Chg Total Units Sales this Week Total Sales Wks
1 Monsters vs. Aliens 720,831 -67.8% 2,956,450 $12,586,574 $51,512,725 2
2 Year One 348,954 -.-% 348,954 $5,579,774 $5,579,774 1
3 Bones: The Complete Fourth Season 215,745 -.-% 215,745 $7,980,408 $7,980,408 1
4 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 186,911 -32.0% 3,522,587 $3,181,692 $60,177,257 4
5 My Life in Ruins 135,012 -.-% 135,012 $2,698,890 $2,698,890 1
6 The Wizard of Oz 123,839 -60.5% $2,510,093 655
7 Ghosts of Girlfriends Past 105,458 -46.8% 843,959 $2,002,647 $14,775,840 3
8 Corpse Bride, The 105,313 57.5% $538,507 193
9 Hannah Montana The Movie 95,870 -8.2% 2,526,024 $1,868,506 $43,834,009 8
10 Trick ‘r Treat 94,717 -.-% 94,717 $1,419,808 $1,419,808 1
11 Edward Scissorhands 91,185 24.0% $949,044 475
12 Dr. Seuss – Green Eggs and Ham and Other Favorites 85,851 47.1% $446,425 314
13 Spookley the Square Pumpkin 82,751 29.0% $743,931 214
14 Clifford the Big Red Dog: Clifford’s Big Halloween 80,445 32.8% 141,030 $682,978 $1,197,345 161
15 Break-Up, The 77,201 -.-% 3,065,432 $631,844 $51,099,146 156
16 Observe and Report 74,101 -25.7% 394,301 $1,481,279 $7,220,604 3
17 Thomas and Friends: Percy’s Ghostly Trick 70,641 7.5% 136,368 $704,997 $1,360,953 58
18 The Sandlot 69,272 -.-% $542,344 402
19 Matilda 66,461 -.-% $492,476 638
20 Race to Witch Mountain 65,451 20.5% 1,536,879 $1,279,914 $27,956,835 10
21 Bring It On: Fight to the Finish 61,487 19.1% 578,019 $967,805 $10,201,255 6
22 Dr. Seuss’ The Cat in the Hat 61,054 -.-% $478,053 291
23 Superman/Batman: Public Enemies 59,108 -70.1% 256,737 $1,004,245 $4,276,981 2
24 Barbie and the Three Musketeers 58,676 -29.4% 688,531 $879,553 $9,977,578 4
25 Coraline 56,369 5.9% 2,035,827 $910,528 $37,332,174 12
26 Scooby Doo! The Mystery Begins 54,062 -14.6% 293,468 $1,088,376 $5,748,566 3
27 Gran Torino 52,404 -.-% 3,742,591 $605,004 $56,578,091 18
28 How I Met Your Mother: Season Four 52,216 -58.0% 176,516 $1,351,872 $4,458,129 2
29 Sons of Anarchy – Season One 49,305 -.-% 315,685 $1,601,919 $10,128,597 8
30 Grey’s Anatomy: The Complete Fifth Season 49,233 -37.1% 476,550 $1,771,896 $17,328,566 4
All numbers via The-Numbers

DVD Sales: Monsters Vs. Aliens Oozes Life On The Home Market

October 13, 2009

Alright guys, no excuses anymore!  My computer is completely fixed (Really, I mean it this time), and I will be blogging daily from now on.  Let’s get started with the latest DVD Sales Chart and my DVD Sales Notes about Monsters Vs. Aliens‘ great debut.

DVD Sales Notes:

-The new number one DVD this week is Dreamworks’ Monsters Vs. Aliens which starts off with a great $38.2 million.  While this won’t be the sort of power house DVD like Wall-E, which sold over 10 million copies, a first week of 2.2 million units sold ain’t half bad!

-62 years after its original release, The Wizard Of Oz shows it still has some fight in it.  A re-release of the film garnered $6 million this week.

-Between Monsters Vs. Aliens strong debut and the $56.9 million that  X-Men Origins: Wolverine has racked up in three weeks, the DVD Sales Chart has experienced a much-needed injection of strong sales lately.

-Wholesomeness > Skankiness.  After three weeks Barbie and the Three Musketeers has made $9.1 million.  After five, Bring It On: Fight To The Finish has earned $9.2 million.  Barbie will have overtaken the cheerleaders by next week.

-My favorite show, How I Met Your Mother, had a modest debut of $3 million for its Season 4 DVDs, but this is better than it’s ever done before, so I’m excited!

The full chart is below.

Top DVD Sales for the Week Ending October 4, 2009
Rank Title Units this Week % Chg Total Units Sales this Week Total Wks
1 Monsters vs. Aliens 2,193,832 -.-% 2,193,832 $38,198,564 $38,198,564 1
2 The Wizard of Oz 308,453 -.-% $6,022,668 654
3 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 270,719 -57.5% 3,331,637 $5,226,420 $56,917,589 3
4 Ghosts of Girlfriends Past 195,690 -63.8% 735,892 $3,547,860 $12,725,892 2
5 Superman/Batman: Public Enemies 194,593 -.-% 194,593 $3,222,460 $3,222,460 1
6 How I Met Your Mother: Season Four 122,196 -.-% 122,196 $3,053,678 $3,053,678 1
7 Hannah Montana The Movie 103,549 9.6% 2,429,300 $1,973,644 $41,949,225 7
8 Observe and Report 98,942 -55.1% 319,433 $1,977,851 $5,723,993 2
9 Barbie and the Three Musketeers 82,488 -44.0% 629,178 $1,236,495 $9,087,877 3
10 Grey’s Anatomy: The Complete Fifth Season 76,784 -14.7% 425,854 $2,774,206 $15,503,812 3
11 Edward Scissorhands 72,835 35.1% $727,622 474
12 State of Play 72,616 57.6% 632,114 $1,197,438 $10,864,816 5
13 Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa 72,396 -.-% 7,014,940 $741,328 $102,321,731 35
14 The Office – Season Five 68,667 -11.0% 734,387 $2,314,078 $24,755,404 4
15 Corpse Bride, The 66,912 -.-% $381,398 192
16 Thomas & Friends: Percy’s Ghostly Trick 65,815 -.-% 65,815 $656,834 $656,834 57
17 30 Rock: Season Three 64,718 -27.9% 154,507 $2,439,869 $5,267,324 2
18 Spookley the Square Pumpkin 63,402 -.-% $569,984 213
19 Scooby Doo! The Mystery Begins 62,085 -64.8% 238,223 $1,253,211 $4,636,311 2
20 Clifford the Big Red Dog: Clifford’s Big Halloween 60,330 -.-% 60,330 $512,202 $512,202 160
21 Dr. Seuss – Green Eggs and Ham and Other Favorites 58,795 -.-% $381,580 313
22 Crank 2: High Voltage 58,575 1.1% 540,576 $1,094,257 $9,761,554 4
23 Heroes – Season Three 57,040 1.9% 560,270 $2,089,375 $20,896,814 5
24 Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles: The Complete Second Season 54,626 -21.4% 124,151 $2,032,087 $4,569,054 2
25 Coraline 53,530 3.2% 1,979,780 $917,820 $36,427,166 11
26 Away We Go 53,310 -.-% 53,310 $928,660 $928,660 1
27 Race to Witch Mountain 53,091 2.0% 1,470,193 $1,076,510 $26,651,879 9
28 Management 51,774 -.-% 51,774 $1,034,962 $1,034,962 1
29 Bring It On: Fight to the Finish 50,678 2.9% 515,567 $835,680 $9,217,537 5
30 It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia: Season 4 43,928 -35.2% 313,138 $1,201,431 $8,094,089 3

Friday Estimates: Star Trek Captures $24 Million On Friday For $31 Million Overall!

May 9, 2009

Wow, this news just came in! UPDATE: Saturday Estimates HERE

Alright, so the very early estimate for Star Trek is that it earned a great $24 million on Friday. Adding that to the estimated $7 million that the intergalactic flick found on Thursday night, Star Trek has an early total of $31 million. Here’s the trajectory I’m seeing for this weekend:

Thursday: $7 million
Friday: $24 million
Saturday: $23 million
Sunday: $16 million
TOTAL: $70 million

This exceeds my $67 million prediction, and Paramount has got to be excited by this result. This is, without a doubt, the hugest opening any Star Trek film has ever had. The advertising campaign has paid off, and new audiences were clearly engaged by the reboot. From here, amazing reviews and word-of-mouth will carry Star Trek to success, and this is a major victory for everyone involved!

UPDATE: As expected, Wolverine plummeted in its second weekend, and it’s $8.5 million Friday represents a 76% drop from last Friday. It should stabilize a bit over Saturday and Sunday, but still fall about 65-70%, so a $28 million weekend seems likely. The only other debut, Next Day Air, couldn’t get off the runway, with a very poor first day of $1.4 million. Give the urban comedy $4 million overall. Here are the Friday Estimates:

Friday Estimates for May 8, 2009
1. Star Trek – $24 million
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine – $8.5 million
3. Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past – $3.1 million
4. Obsessed – $2 million
5. Next Day Air – $1.4 million
6. 17 Again – $1.3 million
7. The Soloist – $980,000 million
8. Fighting – $686,000
9. Monsters Vs. Aliens – $675,000
10. Earth – $670,000
11. Hannah Montana The Movie – $575,000
12. State Of Play – $516,000

Let’s here some reactions in the comments! And if you want more up-to-the-minute box office updates and my other film musings, follow me on Twitter!

The Buzz Meter: Dragonball: Evolution Lives Up To Its Buzz. Unfortunately, That Buzz Was Almost Nonexistent.

April 14, 2009

The experiment continues! In case you forgot, or didn’t see the original post about the Current Cultural Popularity Index, it’s a tool that I slapped together in order to gauge whether films were exceeding the buzz that surrounded them or crumbling beneath it. Well, I’m renaming it this week. It shall heretofore be known as The Buzz Meter. Here’s how it works:

On Friday, I will look up the title of each film in Google News. The number of results that Google News accrues will serve as the News Rating for the Index. I hope all that makes sense. The rest is pretty simple.

Once I have gotten the News Rating for each film, I then look at the weekend gross for each film. Obviously, this will makes up the box office part of the Index. The final step is to divide the weekend box office by the Buzz Rating for each film. This resulting number is something I will call the Current Cultural Popularity Number. The higher the CCPN, the more that a certain film actually matters to audiences at any given time. The CCPN illustrates the extent to which audiences are consuming what the media is presenting them. I will rank the films by their Current Cultural Popularity. Here’s the chart, followed by some notes:


The Buzz Meter
for April 10-12

CCPN
Rank
Movie
Title
Weekend
Box Office
News Rating
(# Of Articles)
Current Cultural
Popularity #
Actual
Rank
1 Hannah Montana The Movie $32,324,487 2,829 11,487 1
2 Fast And Furious $27,237,905 2,829 9,299 2
3 Observe And Report $11,017,334 1,377 8,000 4
4 Dragonball: Evolution $4,756,488 871 5,460 8
5 Monsters Vs. Aliens $21,812,253 8,380 2,603 3
6 Knowing $6,433,433 2,828 2,274 5
7 Sunshine Cleaning $1,733,473
787 2,202 12
8 The Haunting In Connecticut $5,901,215 2,734 2,158 7
9 I Love You, Man $6,280,790 3,449 1,821 8
10 Adventureland $3,353,618 2,687 1,248 9
11 Race To Witch Mountain $1,908,670 1,784 1,070 11
12 Duplicity $2,995,850 3,963 755 10

Hannah Montana The Movie certainly lived up to it’s buzz, with a high CCPN of 11,487, but it’s not nearly the breakout hit that Fast And Furious was with its 25,000 CCPN last week! Just goes to show how absolutely HUGE F&F‘s debut was. It’s still doing well with a nice 9,299

-The fact that Observe And Report and Dragonball: Evolution did rather poorly at the box office yet still have fairly good CCPN’s of 8,000 and 5,460, respectively, shows one thing. The studios did not do a good job of promoting the film and exciting the media, for there were very few articles written for either film. In fact, they had two of the three lowest News Ratings, which is just not okay for a brand new film, especially when Fox paid $100-120 million to produce Dragonball!

Monsters Vs. Aliens has the highest News Rating by FAR, which should push down it’s CCPN, and yet it still has the fifth highest number at 2,603. The massive news exposure and good word-of-mouth from families is helping Monsters Vs. Aliens hold its own.

-Wow, no one but the media cares about Duplicity.

Once again, I’d like to ask you for some feedback. What do you think of the chart? Is it helpful at all or just kind of dumb? I’m genuinely interested in hearing what you think. Please give me some constructive criticism in the comments!

Weekend Fix: Hannah Montana Rules The Easter Roost

April 12, 2009

Sorry about the delay in getting this week’s Weekend Fix posted, but I was at home celebrating my birthday and Easter with my family. It was a great weekend. Anyway, at this point, if you’re a box office follower, you already know that The Hannah Montana Movie crushed the competition with $34 million, Observe And Report underwhelmed with $11.1 million, and Dragonball: Evolution flat out flopped with a very sad $4.6 million. You already know that Fast And Furious dipped a large 59% to $28.7 million, while Monsters Vs. Aliens had a much softer 31% drop to $22.6 million, giving them $118 million and $144 million, respectively. You already know that Knowing and I Love You, Man saw tiny drops of 18% and 17%, further verifying their leggy nature. Thus, because I know that you know these things, because I know that you have other box office websites you visit, because I know that a generic summation of the weekend’s events would be pointless, I’m not going to do a regular write-up. Let me just sum up what I noticed this weekend in a few bullet points:

1. Once again, the fangirls have flexed their box office muscle. With the Twilight DVD already having sold 6 million copies in its first two weeks, and the fantastic $34 million opening of The Hannah Montana Movie, tween girls are proving themselves to be one of the most lucrative audiences in America. Young girls defintely displayed more buying power than the guys Observe And Report was targeting, and certainly more than Dragonball‘s disinterested gamer audience.

2. Miley Cyrus, Tyra Banks, and Taylor Swift are going to take over the world. Honestly, Disney nabbed up all three moguls for The Hannah Montana Movie, and I’m a bit weary of the founding of this triumvirate of power. Seriously, people, we need to be concerned! We live in a country with more women than men, and if these ladies grab enough influence, we might be mandated to sing, dance, make myspace videos, and smile with our eyes until the day we die!

3. Seth Rogen is no Paul Blart. The actor has had a rough run in the recession. Zack And Miri Make A Porno only found $31.4 million last year, and Observe And Report stumbled out of the gate with $11.4 million. It looks like while comedy is in, mean comedy is not. I Love You, Man is just as bawdy, but it’s thriving, probably because it seemed like a whole lot more fun than Observe And Report. We’re in the Era Of Easy Entertainment- audiences don’t want to think too hard, and the Rogen/Faris comedy looked a bit drab and not lighthearted enough.

4. Sunshine Cleaning, after adding 119 theaters, held right where it was last week at $1.8 million dollars. The Amy Adams and Emily Blunt film is becoming a nice, little sleeper hit.

Top 12 For April 10-12
# Movie Title 3-Day Gross % Change AVG. Total
1 Hannah Montana The Movie $34,000,000 New $10,904 $34,000,000
2 Fast And Furious $28,782,880 -59% $8,290 $118,042,070
3 Monsters Vs. Aliens $22,617,000 -31% $5,468 $141,009,000
4 Observe And Report $11,140,000 New $4,085 $11,140,000
5 Knowing $6,670,000 -18% $2,280 $68,006,117
6 I Love You, Man $6,412,000 -17% $2,426 $58,997,000
7 The Haunting In Connecticut $5,710,000 -40% $2,098 $46,300,000
8 Dragonball: Evolution $4,650,000 New $2,132 $4,650,000
9 Adventureland $3,433,000 -40% $1,830 $11,450,000
10 Duplicity $2,996,625 -28% $1,525 $36,848,220
11 Race To Witch Mountain $2,000,000 -38% $921 $62,056,000
12 Sunshine Cleaning $1,804,000 0% $3,017 $7,223,257
All Numbers Provided By Exhibitor Relations Co.

Friday Estimates: Hannah Montana Earns $15 Million On First Day! Biggest Easter Weekend Ever?

April 11, 2009

Steve Mason just posted his exclusive Friday Estimates over at Big Hollywood, and it looks like Hannah Montana The Movie could be headed for a $40+ million weekend! Of course, it will probably be front-loaded, as hordes of tweenage girls rushed out to see the film on opening night, so a $35 million gross seems reasonable. That would put the Disney film as the second-best Easter weekend ever, behind only Scary Movie 4‘s $40 million bow. Between the strength of Hannah Montana and Fast And Furious, which should grab about $28 million over the frame, and Monsters Vs. Aliens, which might find $20 million, we could be looking at the best Easter weekend box office of all time. In less exciting news, Seth Rogen’s Observe And Report underwhelmed with just $4.3 million on Friday, and Dragonball: Evolution flat-out bombed with just $1.9 million. The should find $12 million and $4.5 million, respectively. Here are Steve Mason’s early estimates (how does he get them so fast?!):

EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES
1. NEW – Hanna Montana The Movie (Disney) – $15M, $4,811 PTA, $15M cume
2. Fast & Furious (Universal) – $10M, $2,880 PTA, $99.25M cume
3. Monsters vs. Aliens (Dreamworks/Paramount) – $8.1M, $1,958 PTA, $126.5M cume
4. NEW – Observe & Report (Warner Bros) – $4.25M, $1,558 PTA, $4.25M cume
5. The Haunting in Connecticut (Lionsgate) – $1.7M, $625 PTA, $42.28M cume
6. I Love You Man (Dreamworks/Paramount) – $2.11M, $798 PTA, $54.7M cume
7. Knowing (Summit) – $1.95M, $667 PTA, $63.28M cume
8. NEW – Dragonball: Evolution (Fox) – $1.92M, $880 PTA, $1.92M cume
9. Adventureland (Miramax) – $1.1M, $586 PTA, $9.11M cume
10. Duplicity (Universal) – $750,000, $382 PTA, $34.6M cume

What do you think of all this box office madness? Did you think Hannah would break out this big, and how much do you think it will finish with this weekend? Let me know in the comments!

What’s Everyone Else Predicting? Box Office Analysts Unite!

April 10, 2009

It’s high time that someone took the initiative and united all the different box office analysts out there! So many great sites are dedicated to studying the trends of the film industry, and I thought it might be nice to put together a chart of all our various box office predictions each week and see how we compare to one another. I’ve placed some links at the top of the chart, so you can read everyone else’s weekend forecasts. What do you think of this idea?

Box Office Analyst Predictions
Film
Title
The Box
Office Junkie
Box Office
Magazine
The-
Numbers
Box Office
Prophets
Box Office
Guru
Slash
Film
Fast And Furious $30.0 M $31.0 $29.5 $27.5 $32.0 $30.0
Hannah Montana The Movie $27.0 M $29.0 $25.0 $22.0 $26.0 $24.6
Monsters Vs. Aliens $20.0 M $21.0 $18.0 $19.6 $21.0 $21.0
Observe And Report $18.0 M $16.0 $15.0 $18.0 $14.0 $19.5
Dragonball: Evolution $11.0 M $7.5 $6.0 $5.0 $8.0 $10.7
I Love You, Man $5.0 M $5.6 $4.4 $4.9
The Haunting In Connecticut $4.8 M $5.3 $4.6 $5.1
Knowing $4.7 M $5.8 $4.7 $4.8
Adventureland $3.5 M $3.9 $2.9 $3.4
Duplicity $2.3 M $2.4 $2.4
Sunshine Cleaning $1.9 M $2.3
Race To Witch Mountain $1.6 M

New Feature: The Current Cultural Popularity Index

April 7, 2009

For a while now, I’ve been wanting to compare how much money movies are earning versus the amount of buzz that surrounds them with some sort of measurable statistic. You see, for every Taken, which arose out of relative obscurity to earn $24.7 million over its opening weekend, there’s a Snakes On A Plane, which everyone was talking about, yet it could only muster $13.8 million in its opening frame. Often the media is ablaze with thousands of articles about a film, only for it to fall flat upon its release. Often the media doesn’t bother to report much upon a film, yet it does very well financially. Often (and probably most often), the media reports endlessly on a film, and it consequently goes on to make hundreds of millions of dollars. I simply wanted a way to document this relationship of buzz and box office. Therefore, I’ve created the Current Cultural Popularity Index.

Here’s how the Current Cultural Popularity Index will work. On Friday, I will look up the title of each film in Google News. I will enter the title in quotations to assure the most accurate results. For example, I would write “Fast And Furious” or “The Haunting In Connecticut.” If the title is a single generic word, I will also include the last name of the lead actor or actress, so that I don’t get every single article that includes that word in the results. For example, for the movie Knowing, I would look up: knowing cage. The number of results that Google News accrues will serve as the Buzz Rating for the Index. I hope all that makes sense. The rest is pretty simple.

Once I have gotten the Buzz Rating for each film, I then look at the weekend gross for each film. Obviously, this will makes up the box office part of the Index. The final step is to divide the weekend box office by the Buzz Rating for each film. This resulting number is something I will call the Current Cultural Popularity Number. The higher the CCPN, the more that a certain film actually matters to audiences at any given time. The CCPN illustrates the extent to which audiences are consuming what the media is presenting them. I will rank the films by their Current Cultural Popularity. Here’s my very first version of the chart:

The Current Cultural Popularity Index
CCPN
Rank
Movie
Title
Weekend
Box Office
Buzz Rating
(# Of Articles)
Current Cultural
Popularity #
Actual
Rank
1 Fast And Furious $70,950,500 2,801 25,330 1
2 Monsters Vs. Aliens $32,609,165 8,733 3,760 2
3 The Haunting In Connecticut $9,481,647 2,612 3,411 3
4 Knowing $8,146,156 2,779 2,931 4
5 Sunchine Cleaning $1,807,164 759 2,371 10
6 Adventureland $5,722,039 2,634 2,172 6
7 I Love You, Man $7,722,468 4,025 1,918 5
8 12 Rounds $2,260,906 1,543 1,465 9
9 Race To Witch Mountain $3,212,602 2,504 1,282 8
10 The Last House On The Left $1,259,325 1,272 990 12
11 Duplicity $4,174,240 4,466 934 7
12 Taken $1,544,471 2,022 763 11

Here are my immediate thoughts:
1. Fast And Furious is definitely the most popular movie out right now. By a lot.
2. Sunshine Cleaning has breakout potential. It’s really exceeding its buzz.
3. The media cares about Julia Roberts and Duplicity. The public does not.
4. The Buzz Rating for Taken was tough to calculate. I tried to filter out all the articles that were actually about Liam Neeson’s late wife, Natasha Richardson, but I don’t know how well I did.

Now, I want your feedback. Scratch that- I need your feedback! Do you think the Current Cultural Popularity Index is interesting/useful? Is this something I should keep doing? Any suggestions for different ways I could calculate the statistics that might make this chart more helpful and informative? Trust me, this is going to be a learning process for me too, but as for this trial edition, I personally found it fascinating. I’m fully planning on continuing. But hey, you might not agree. Please give me a piece of your mind in the comments!