Archive for the ‘I Can Do Bad All By Myself’ Category
Friday Estimates are out, and I’ve got some figures and analysis for you as weekend numbers continue to trickle in.
With a super $8.6 million Friday, Tyler Perry’s I Can Do Bad All By Myself topped the box office, and it looks to be headed for an opening weekend of about $25 million, which is right in line with my prediction. Animated film 9, after a $3.3 million Friday, looks like it will come in with about $10 million for the weekend, which is also right in line with my prediction! However, any pride I might have in my prophetic box office ability is wiped away by Sorority Row.
I don’t know the last time I was so wildly wrong about a movie’s box office potential. Sorority Row took in just $1.9 million on Friday, and the horror remake will find about $5 million over the weekend, well off from my embarrassingly high $17 million prediction. In other news, Whiteout also earned $1.8 million on Friday, and it seems to be headed for $5 million as well. And for that matter, it looks like there are going to be about five titles headed for a $5-6 million weekend, including Inglorious Basterds, which will cross the $100 million plateau tonight. Here are the full estimates:
Friday Estimates for September 11, 2009
1. I Can Do Bad All By Myself – $8.6 million
2 9 – $3.3 million
3. Sorority Row – $1.9 million
4. Inglorious Basterds – $1.9 million
5. All About Steve – $1.8 million
6. Whiteout – $1.8 million
7. The Final Destination – $1.7 million
8. District 9 – $1.1 million
9. Gamer – $1 million
10. Julie And Julia – $920,000
11. The Time Traveler’s Wife – $740,000
12. Extract – $720,000
I’m still getting back into the swing of full time blogging after my Summer hiatus, so please forgive me for this shorter Weekend Preview, but I’m going to fail out of school if I don’t limit my time spent on this post. This week, I’ll just make three observations about each new release, along with predictions:
I Can Do Bad All By Myself – 2,255 theaters – $27 million
1. Tyler Perry always does well at the box office, especially when he appears in drag as the Madea character.
2. This weekend last year, Tyler Perry’s The Family The Preys opened to $17.4 million.
3. Film is being distributed by Perry’s longtime partner studio, Lionsgate, and it should do very well with urban audiences.
Sorority Row – 2,665 theaters – $17 million
1. This movie has some fascinating casting that is certainly targeting a young, MTV audience: the cast includes Jamie Chung, a former Real World castmember, Rumer Willis, the celebuspawn of Demi Moore and Bruce Willis, Audrina Patridge, star of The Hills, and Margo Harshman, who starred on Disney Channel’s Even Stevens back in the day.
2. For a teen slasher flick, reviews really aren’t that bad!
3. Advertising has been very strong, and the movie looks like tons of fun, primarily because it doesn’t appear to take itself too seriously
9 – 1,661 theaters – $11 million
1. Tim Burton served as producer on this film, and it’s got all of his typically macabre visual touches on it.
2. Though this film earned a very solid $3.1 million on Wednesday, the sheer geek-factor of it will lead to a good bit of frontloadedness, so I wouldn’t bet on huge weekend numbers.
3. I’m not gonna lie, I think this film just looks weird, and not in a very appealing way.
Whiteout – 2,745 theaters – $7 million
1. I had not heard of this film until Wednesday, when I finally saw an uninspiring commercial.
2. Reviews are bad. I mean, very bad. I mean, worse than All About Steve‘s.
3. Kate Beckinsale, why do you feel you can only appear in dark, depressing settings like the Underworld or Antarctica. You’re beautiful- come out into the light!
Box Office Predictions for September 11-13, 2009
1. I Can Do Bad All By Myself – $25 million
2. Sorority Row – $17 million
3. 9 – $11 million
4. Inglorious Basterds – $7.3 million
5. Whiteout – $7 million
6. All About Steve – $6.3 million
7. The Final Destination – $6 million
8. Gamer – $4.6 million
9. District 9 – $4.2 million
10. Julie And Julia – $3.8 million
What about you? What are your predictions for this weekend? Am I underestimating or overestimating Tyler Perry’s box office drawing ability? And does anyone else think Sorority Row looks as shamelessly entertaining as I do? Let me know in the comments!