Archive for the ‘Couples Retreat’ Category

Weekend Preview: 2012 Hopes To To Blow Up (Literally And Figuratively)

November 13, 2009

Welcome to the Weekend Preview!  This week, there’s just two new wide releases, and only one of them is a true wide release.  Sony’s 2012 should be huge, as should Precious (due to its expansion) while Focus’ Pirate Radio should be small.  How big and how small?  Watch the video above to find out, and then check out my full predictions below, which include last week’s openers: A Christmas Carol, which should see a small drop this weekend and every weekend until Christmas, The Men Who Stare At Goats, and The Fourth Kind.  I’m guessing The Box will fall out of the top ten.  Check them out:

Box Office Predictions for November 13-15, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 2012 3,404 $57 million
2 A Christmas Carol 3,683 $19 million
3 This Is It 3,037 $8 million
4 The Men Who Stare At Goats 2,453 $6.5 million
5 The Fourth Kind 2,530 $5.5 million
6 Precious 174 $5 million
7 Paranormal Activity 2,712 $4.2 million
8 Couples Retreat 2,507 $4.1 million
9 Pirate Radio 882 $4 million
10 Law Abiding Citizen 2,071 $3.8 million

Advertisements

Friday Estimates: A Christmas Carol Captures $9 Million Worth Of Christmas Cheer

November 7, 2009

Friday box office estimates are starting to roll in, and while we have a clear winner in Disney’s A Christmas Carol, the race for second place will be tight between The Men Who Stare At Goats, The Fourth Kind, and This Is It.  Here are Friday’s numbers, along with my early impressions on these results:

A Christmas Carol
With $9 million on Friday, a $30 million weekend seems likely, which is well below my $40 million prediction, yet in line with the starts of other Robert Zemeckis motion-capture films like The Polar Express ($23.3 million) and Beowulf ($27.5 million).  I’m kind of frustrated in myself.  I wanted to predict this closer to $30 million, but I just believed so much in Disney’s marketing prowess, and I upped my prediction considerably.  As I’ve said before, A Christmas Carol could have opened much higher if it had debuted two weeks from now, but the silver lining for Disney is that this Jim Carrey Christmas tale will plug along steadily for the next seven weeks, as the actual holiday of Christmas grows near.  If it’s lucky, A Christmas Carol will earn back its $175 million budget, but that will be a tough task.  Can’t wait to find out if it does!

The Fourth Kind

The alien abduction (non) thriller began with $5 million on Friday, which isn’t too shabby.  But between the terrible reviews, the crowded marketplace, and the way that fanboys rush out on opening day to see this sort of film, I wouldn’t expect much for the rest of the weekend.  By Sunday, The Fourth Kind will probably have abducted about $13 million out of American pockets.

The Men Who Stare At Goats

The George Clooney war satire earned $4.6 million on Friday.  I had this pegged at earning $2-3 million on Friday, since cynical movies about war don’t tend to sit well with audiences, but I guess the star power and the ambiguous ads were enough to coax people into the theaters.  Back in 2005, Jarhead started with $10.5 million on its way to a $27.7 million weekend, giving it an opening weekend multiplier of 2.6.   I would expect a similar degree of liberal frontloadedness for Goats, and a $12 million weekend seems likely.

The Box

I wanted this to really exceed my expectations, but unfortunately, it just met them.  With $2.85 million on Friday, the psychological suspense movie starring Cameron Diaz and James Marsden seems destined for the Wal Mart bargain rack in a few years.  Give the thriller $8 million for the frame.

This Is It and Paranormal Activity

The Michael Jackson documentary, This Is It, held up well on Friday, earning another $4.2 million.  I’m seeing a solid $13 million over three days for this one, good for second place at the box office.  Meanwhile, the freight train that is Paranormal Activity is officially coming to a stop.  The horror film was down 53% from last Friday to just $2.85 million.  An $8.2 million weekend should result.

Friday Estimates for November 6, 2009
1. A Christmas Carol – $9 million
2. The Fourth Kind – $5 million
3. The Men Who Stare At Goats – $4.6 million
4. This Is It – $4.2 million
5. The Box – $2.85 million
6. Paranormal Activity – $2.85 million
7. Couples Retreat – $2 million
8. Law Abiding Citizen – $1.8 million
9. Where The Wild Things Are – $1.2 million
10. Saw VI – $700,000
11. Precious – $585,000

Weekend Fix: This Is It Takes #1 At The Box Office; Paranormal Activity Continues Its Rampage

November 2, 2009

Weekend Preview: This Is It For Michael Jackson’s This Is It

October 30, 2009

Only one new release this weekend, and that is Sony’s Michael Jackson’s This Is It, the documentary about Michael Jackson’s final hours as he prepared for his latest tour.  Watch the video above (you’ll see me getting musical!) to get my prediction for This Is It‘s box office potential.  The rest of the chart should largely look the same as last week.  Paranormal Activity will see a soft drop, as Paramount is adding 457 theaters to its count.  $100 million is all but assured for Paranormal at this point.  Law Abiding Citizen and Couples Retreat will continue their impressive runs with small decreases, while Where The Wild Things Are and (to a greater extent) Saw VI will fall hard.  Read on for my full predictions for this Halloween weekend…

Box Office Predictions for October 30 – November 1, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Michael Jackson’s This Is It 3,481 $35 million
2 Paranormal Activity 2,402 $15 million
3 Law Abiding Citizen 2,764 $8 million
4 Where The Wild Things Are 2,754 $7 million
5 Couples Retreat 3,027 $6.7 million
6 Saw VI 3,036 $5.8 million
7 Astro Boy 3,020 $4 million
8 The Stepfather 2,346 $3.8 million
9 The Vampire’s Assistant 2,754 $3.2 million
10 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2,322 $3.2 million

Weekend Fix: Wild Things Ain’t That Wild, Law Abiding Citizen Does Well, Paranormal Activity AMAZES

October 18, 2009

Friday Estimates: Where The Wild Things Are On Top; Law Abiding Citizen Actually Does Well!

October 17, 2009

Some very early Friday Estimates are starting to roll in, and as predicted, Where The Wild Things Are topped the Friday box office with an estimated $11.9 million.  This should guide the Warner Brothers feature to a solid $35 million weekend.  Keep reading to find out how the rest of the box office looked…

Law Abiding Citizen, the critically ravaged prison drama starringJamie Foxx and Gerard Butler, found a surprisingly great $7.7 million on Friday.  I predicted it to earn just $9.5 million, so this is definitely a break out hit. It could be headed to a $20 million weekend.

Paranormal Activity grossed a very good $6.7 million out of 760 theaters on Friday, so it should finish the weekend with an unbelievable $17 million.

Couples Retreat fell 50% from last Friday to $5.8 million, but it should recover over the rest of the weekend and finish with about $19 million.

The Stepfather also exceeded my expectations, finding $4.3 million on Friday, which is far from spectacular, but pretty good when you consider the poor reviews, the weak advertising, and the lack of proven star power.  It might grab $10.5 million over the weekend frame.

It should also be said that the box office is exhibiting a tremendous amount of depth this weekend, as five films are headed to $10+ million weekends! This abundance of ticket sales and great business is kind of random, considering this weekend really only had one high profile release, but hey, in this recession, every economic win is a reason to rejoice!

Box Office Estimates For October 16, 2009
1. Where The Wild Things Are – $11.9 million
2. Law Abiding Citizen – $7.7 million
3. Paranormal Activity – $6.7 million
4. Couples Retreat – $5.8 million
5. The Stepfather – $4.3 million
6. Zombieland – $2.4 million
7. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $2.1 million
8. Toy Story / Toy Story 2 (3D) – $825,000
9. The Invention Of Lying – $605,000
10. Surrogates – $585,000

2009’s Biggest Box Office Star: Stupidity!

October 16, 2009

After five days and $43.1 million, someone add Couples Retreat to the list!  2009 has been called the Era Of Easy Entertainment by many great film scholars (well…. really, just me) because in the doldrums of one our country’s worst-ever recessions, the film industry, particularly the less intellectual section of it, is thriving.  With depressing news on our TVs, depressing pink slips on our desks, and depressing bills in our mailboxes, it appears that Americans are decidedly in the mood for something light and fun.  Movies that offer a respite from these harsh realities seem to be the antidote-of-choice for many sad Americans, and 2009 has seen dumb movie after dumb movie top the box office.

Now when I say “dumb,” I am not claiming that these movies shouldn’t exist, nor am I trying to act pretentious and snobby.  I am merely stating that there have been a huge number of generally poorly-reviewed, generally illogical and senseless movies that have succeeded at the box office this year.  These films typically don’t take themselves very seriously, and though many are comedies, there have been equally stupid and equally successful action flicks and thrillers as well.  Americans like not having to think very hard when they’re at the movies, and 2009 has been all about cinematic junk food! Let’s take a look at some of the top benefactors of the EEE:

Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $402.1 million

X-Men Origins: Wolverine – $179.9 million

Fast And Furious – $155.1 million

G.I. Joe: The Rise Of Cobra – $149.2 million

Paul Blart: Mall Cop – $146.3 million

G-Force – $118 million

The Ugly Truth – $88.9 million

Knowing – $80 million

Hotel For Dogs – $73 million

I Love You, Man – $71.4 million

Obsessed – $68.3 million

The Final Destination – $66 million

Bride Wars – $58.7 million

Tell me, how many of these titles are people going to remember in ten years?  Heck, it hasn’t even been ten months and I can barely remember Knowing!  The point is, the above movies are reaping the benefits of a stressed American populace, capitalizing on the desire for escapism of so many people. 

Weekend Fix: Couples Retreat Validates The EEE Once Again!

October 11, 2009

Friday Estimates: Couples Retreat Starts Off Strong; Paranormal Activity DOMINATES!

October 10, 2009

Friday numbers are in, and they speak for themselves. Couples Retreat had a great first Friday, with $12.3 million, but the real story of the weekend is Paranormal Activity, which managed to gross $2.5 million out of just 159 theaters! The numbers follow:

Friday Estimates For October 9, 2009
1. Couples Retreat – $12.3 million
2. Zombieland – $4.8 million
3. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $3.1 million
4. Paranormal Activity – $2.5 million
5. Toy Story / Toy Story 2 (3D) – $2 million
6. Surrogates – $1.3 million
7. The Invention Of Lying – $1.1 million
8. Whip It – $890,000
9. Fame – $780,000
10. Capitalism: A Love Story – $760,000
11. The Informant! – $660,000
12. Love Happens – $474,000

Weekend Preview: Couples Retreat? Couples, Retreat!

October 9, 2009

My computer just got fixed!  Blogging can now resume as regularly scheduled.  First on the docket?  A Weekend Preview video of course!  There’s only one new release this weekend, and that’s Universal’s Couples Retreat, and it should do pretty well at the box office.  Considering its only competition is a an animated kids movie (Cloudy) and a zombie flick (Zombieland), I’m thinking Couples Retreat can find a pretty solid $23 million weekend.  Go ahead and watch the video, and then click inside to see my full box office predictions.

By the way, that good article about Paranormal Activity I was talking about is here.

Box Office Predictions for October 9-11, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Couples Retreat 3,000 $23 million
2 Zombieland 3,038 $15 million
3 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2,992 $11 million
4 Toy Story / Toy Story (3D) 1,752 $7 million
5 Surrogates 2,992 $4.1 million
6 The Invention Of Lying 1,743 $4.1 million
7 Capitalism: A Love Story 995 $3.5 million
8 Whip It 1,738 $3.3 million
9 Fame 3,110 $2.3 million
10 The Informant! 2,202 $2.2 million
11 Love Happens 1,895 $1.9 million
12 Paranormal Activity 159 $1.8 million