Archive for the ‘Cloudy WIth A Chance Of Meatballs’ Category

Weekend Preview: Will Where The Wild Things Are Be The Blockbuster Everyone’s Hoping It Will Be?

October 16, 2009

Okay guys, there have been a couple requests for a traditional Weekend Preview, so this week I decided to do one.  The video above is asking for some feedback on which format you like the best, so please chime in with your opinion in the comments!  This week, three new films hit theaters, but based on buzz,  it almost seems like there’s just one new release.  On the docket we have the very low profile Law-Abiding Citizen and The Stepfather, and the very high profile Where The Wild Things Are.  Keep reading to see my predictions of how each of these movies will perform this weekend.

Where The Wild Things Are – 3,735 theaters – $31.5 million

1. Sorry popular media, but I still say this Warner Brothers movie is too hipster and weird to be a huge mainstream success. 
2. Between the built in fans of the book, the strong advertising campaign, and the ultra-wide release into 3,735 theaters, a solid opening weekend is guaranteed.
3. Reviews are fairly good, but that’s from snobby critics who actually appreciate artistic themes and dour characters (think Donnie Darko).  This film will have masses of teenage fans who say it is the best piece of art they have ever seen, but for the common middle American family, I’m not so sure this plotless dreamscape will be beloved.

Law Abiding Citizen – 2,889 theaters – $9.5 million
1. This film stars Jamie Foxx and Gerard Butler, two movie stars who aren’t exactly box office draws.
2. Unlike the above release, I have seen almost no advertising for this drama, which is about a tyrannical prisoner and a harsh district attorney.
3. The wide release will garner at least some attention, but abysmal reviews will keep the target audience of this (adults) away.

The Stepfather – 2,734 theaters – $6 million

1. I feel like some Screen Gems producers were sitting in a room and said, “Hey, lets make a cheap horror remake and just throw a good looking Gossip Girl star in it!  It’s almost no work on our part!”
2. Unfortunately for the above producers, these poorly reviewed, cheap retreads only do well when supported by a major advertising campaign, which this has not had.
3. The good news for Screen Gems is that I’m sure this movie was inexpensive to make, so even if it fails financially, I’m sure it was a small investment.

Paranormal Activity – 760 theaters – $17 million

1. The little horror film that could expands into 600 more theaters this weekend, and I’d expect a full wide release from Paramount next weekend.
2. Because of the expansion, the blazing $49,000 per theater average of last week is going to come down a bit, but a $21,000 average would still give this an amazing $17 million for the weekend.
3. Based on Paranormal Activity‘s shockingly effective “Demand It” campaign, I’d expect a slew of films to begin trying to use Eventful to make their movies break out.  This seems like a rather unique case, though, and I don’t expect lightning to strike twice.

Among holdovers, Couples Retreat, since it is a widely accessible comedy, should see a friendly second weekend drop of about 45% to $18 million. Zombieland and Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs should keep riding the wave of fantastic word-of-mouth to small drops of 40% and 30%, respectively. My full predictions are below:

Box Office Predictions for October 16-18, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Where The Wild Things Are 3,735 $31.5 million
2 Couples Retreat 3,009 $18 million
3 Paranormal Activity 760 $17 million
4 Law Abiding Citizen 2,889 $9.5 million
5 Zombieland 3,171 $9 million
6 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 3,037 $8 million
7 The Stepfather 2,734 $7 million
8 Toy Story / Toy Story 2 (3D) 1,467 $5 million
9 Surrogates 2,326 $2.7 million
10 The Invention Of Lying 1,624 $2 million

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Weekend Fix: Couples Retreat Validates The EEE Once Again!

October 11, 2009

Friday Estimates: Couples Retreat Starts Off Strong; Paranormal Activity DOMINATES!

October 10, 2009

Friday numbers are in, and they speak for themselves. Couples Retreat had a great first Friday, with $12.3 million, but the real story of the weekend is Paranormal Activity, which managed to gross $2.5 million out of just 159 theaters! The numbers follow:

Friday Estimates For October 9, 2009
1. Couples Retreat – $12.3 million
2. Zombieland – $4.8 million
3. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $3.1 million
4. Paranormal Activity – $2.5 million
5. Toy Story / Toy Story 2 (3D) – $2 million
6. Surrogates – $1.3 million
7. The Invention Of Lying – $1.1 million
8. Whip It – $890,000
9. Fame – $780,000
10. Capitalism: A Love Story – $760,000
11. The Informant! – $660,000
12. Love Happens – $474,000

Weekend Preview: Couples Retreat? Couples, Retreat!

October 9, 2009

My computer just got fixed!  Blogging can now resume as regularly scheduled.  First on the docket?  A Weekend Preview video of course!  There’s only one new release this weekend, and that’s Universal’s Couples Retreat, and it should do pretty well at the box office.  Considering its only competition is a an animated kids movie (Cloudy) and a zombie flick (Zombieland), I’m thinking Couples Retreat can find a pretty solid $23 million weekend.  Go ahead and watch the video, and then click inside to see my full box office predictions.

By the way, that good article about Paranormal Activity I was talking about is here.

Box Office Predictions for October 9-11, 2009
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Couples Retreat 3,000 $23 million
2 Zombieland 3,038 $15 million
3 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 2,992 $11 million
4 Toy Story / Toy Story (3D) 1,752 $7 million
5 Surrogates 2,992 $4.1 million
6 The Invention Of Lying 1,743 $4.1 million
7 Capitalism: A Love Story 995 $3.5 million
8 Whip It 1,738 $3.3 million
9 Fame 3,110 $2.3 million
10 The Informant! 2,202 $2.2 million
11 Love Happens 1,895 $1.9 million
12 Paranormal Activity 159 $1.8 million

Weekend Fix: In Its 2nd Weekend, Meatballs Earns As Much As Surrogates And Fame Combined!

September 27, 2009

Friday Estimates: Surrogates Sits Beneath A Cloudy Sky; Fame And Pandorum Are In A Storm

September 26, 2009

Early Friday Estimates are in, so come on in here and see how the weekend box office is shaping up!

Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs
It looks like Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs will being sitting on top of the box office again this weekend.  With $5.5 million on Friday, expect the weekend multiplier to be very strong, since this is a family movie, which tend to thrive on Saturdays and Sundays.  Cloudy could be headed for a $20 million weekend.

Surrogates

The Buena Vista thriller found $5.1 million on Friday.  It should finish right in line with my prediction, earning about $15 million over the weekend frame.

Fame

The musical remake couldn’t live up to its name, scoring a mere $3.8 million on Friday.  This has to be disappointing result for MGM.  Give it $10 million for the weekend.

The Informant
This held up very well this weekend, earning $2.2 million on Friday.  A $7 million weekend seems to be in store for the Matt Damon film.

Pandorum

Dennis Quaid’s sci-fi film undercut my already low prediction.  With $1.5 million on Friday, Pandorum can probably only beam up $4.4 million this weekend.

Here are the estimates from Steve Mason’s SMOG.

EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES FOR 9/25-27
1. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs (Sony) – $5.5M
2. Surrogates (Disney) – $5.1M
3. Fame (MGM) – $3.8M
4. The Informant! (Warner Bros) – $2.2M  
5. I Can Do Bad All By Myself (Lionsgate) – $1.65M
6.  Pandorum (Overture) – $1.5M

Be sure to check back here on Sunday for the Weekend Fix, where you can watch my video recap of this weekend’s box office. BTW, you can see my YouTube channel here. There you can subscribe to my videos to see them as soon as their posted.

Weekend Preview: Can "Surrogates" Find More "Fame" Than "Meatballs?"

September 25, 2009

The final weekend of September marks the end of the dreck that studios dump upon the moviegoing public and the official start to the Fall box office season.  This week, Surrogates, Fame, and Pandorum (all one word titles…interesting) hit theaters, but really, only Surrogates has a shot at the top spot.

Alright, I address the new releases in the video above, so let me take a brief moment to discuss holdovers.  With no competition in sight, and very positive word-of-mouth on its side, Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs should see a very soft decline of around the 33%.  The Informant, because it caters to an adult audience will not see too harsh of a weekend drop, but its box office performance has already proven fairly underwhelming.  A 45% drop would give it $6.2 million for the weekend.  Love Happens will continue to prove that romantic comedies, no matter how bad they are, usually hold up well week-to-week at the box office. A 40% drop would give the Jennifer Aniston sobfest $5.2 million for the weekend.  Jennifer’s Body would probably see a drop of about 60%, but it’s adding138 theaters to its count, which will soften the blow a bit.  A 55% drop will give the Megan Fox horror comedy $3.2 million.  Here’s the full chart:

Box Office Predictions for September 25-27, 2009

Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs 3,119 $20 million
Surrogates 2,951 $15 million
Fame 3,096 $14 million
Pandorum 2,506 $6.5 million
The Informant! 2,505 $6.2 million
Love Happens 1,898 $5.2 million
I Can Do Bad All By Myself 2,120 $4.9 million
Jennifer’s Body 2,738 $3.2 million
9 2,025 $2.8 million
Inglorious Basterds 1,960 $2.3 million

5 Reasons I Hate 3-D Movies

September 23, 2009

It’s List Wednesday, which means that it’s time for a countdown!  This week, I decided to do make a video for List Wednesday… I’ve been doing that a lot lately, haven’t I?  Well, I hope you enjoy them!  Still, this post isn’t just a placeholder for one of my videos- it’s useful too!  Inside, you’ll find a list of all of 2009’s 3-D releases, as well as how much money they earned at the box office.

Box Office Performance of 2009 3-D Movies

Release Date Movie Total Gross
Jan 16, 2009 My Bloody Valentine 3-D $51.5 million
Feb 06, 2009 Coraline $75.3 million
Feb 27, 2009 Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert Experience $19.1 million
Mar 27, 2009 Monsters Vs. Aliens $198.4 million
May 1, 2009 Battle For Terra 3D $1.9 million
May 29, 2009 Up $291.9 million
Jul 01, 2009 Ice Age: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs $195.1 million
Jul 24, 2009 G-Force $117.2 million
Aug 21, 2009 X-Games 3D: The Movie $1.4 million
Aug 28, 2009 The Final Destination $62.9 million (so far)
Sep 18, 2009 Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs $33.0 million (so far)
Oct 02, 2009
Toy Story ???
Oct 30, 2009 Horrorween 3D ???
Nov 06, 2009 A Christmas Carol ???
Nov 20, 2009 Planet 51 ???
Dec 18, 2009
Avatar ???
Dec 18, 2009 Frankenweenie ???
Dec 25, 2009 The Princess And The Frog ???

Weekend Fix: Meatballs’ Box Office Performance Wasn’t Cloudy At All!

September 20, 2009

Friday Estimates: Meatballs-Good, Informant-Solid, Love Happens-Fair, Jennifer’s Body-Poor

September 19, 2009

Here are your box office estimates for Friday September 18:

Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs had a solid first day with $8.1 million, and it seems headed for a $27 million weekend.  The Informant! fared pretty well with $3.7 million on Friday, and a $10.8 million weekend seems in order.  Jennifer Aniston’s Love Happens found $3.1 million, while Megan Fox’s Jennifer’s Body earned $2.8 million on Friday, but Jennifer’s Body is sure to be frontloaded.  Give Love Happens $9 million for the weekend, while Body might find $6.8 million.

Friday Estimates for September 18, 2009
1. Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs – $8.1 million
2. The Informant – $3.7 million
3. I Can Do Bad All By Myself – $3.1 million
4. Love Happens – $3.1 million
5. Jennifer’s Body – $2.8 million
6. 9 – $1.6 million
7. Inglorious Basterds – $1.2 million
8. All About Steve – $1.1 million
9. Sorority Row – $850,000
10. The Final Destination – $740,000
11. Whiteout – $665,000
12. Julie And Julia – $590,000

What do you think about these results? Let me hear your reactions in the comments!