Archive for the ‘Channing Tatum’ Category
Remember how I mentioned in yesterday’s video that I wouldn’t be totally surprised if Dear John managed to win the weekend? Well, after a fantastic Friday, it looks like the romantic drama is going to! Dear John earned a tremendous $13.8 million yesterday, and where it heads from here is an interesting question. I’m guessing Channing Tatum has a substantial number of teen fangirls, who rushed out on Friday to see this film, so it will be fairly frontloaded. That being said, Dear John should hold better than most every other movie on Super Bowl Sunday. All told, an awesome $31 million weekend is in store for Dear John. Avatar came in second with $6.2 million, and while the sci-fi epic will finally give up the top spot, it will still only fall about 25% from last weekend to $23 million, lifting its total to $629 million. From Paris With Love couldn’t even live up to lowered expectations, and the John Travolta shoot-em-up only grossed $3 million on Friday. This should lead to a weak $8 million weekend, only slightly more than what Edge Of Darkness will earn in its second weekend. Otherwise, there’s not too much to report, as things are performing pretty much as expected. Crazy Heart broke into the Top 10 with $1.1 million on Friday, and the Oscar-nominated release might see a $3.3 million weekend. Check below for full Friday box office estimates:
Friday Estimates For February 5, 2010
1. Dear John – $13.8 million
2. Avatar – $6.2 million
3. From Paris With Love – $3 million
4. Edge Of Darkness – $2.3 million
5. When In Rome – $2 million
6. Tooth Fairy – $1.7 million
7. The Book Of Eli – $1.5 million
8. Crazy Heart – $1.1 million
9. Legion – $1.1 million
10. Sherlock Holmes – $785,000
Could this finally be the week that Avatar rescinds the top spot on the chart? I know I’ve asked that for the last few weeks, but the planets (Pandorum excluded) may be aligned in just the right way to push Avatar down to second place this frame. The Super Bowl will draw males away from the theaters, and it may leave the romantic, female-targeting Dear John to take the box office by storm. Still, Avatar hasn’t gone down yet, and there’s a good chance it will win the weekend again, so it’s going to be a fun, close one to watch! The other newcomer, From Paris With Love, probably won’t have as much success, and the John Travolta action film will have a mid-level debut. To hear my predictions of those new films, watch the video above. As far as the holdovers go, drops are usually pretty small at this time of the year, though the Super Bowl will subtract a huge portion of audiences on Sunday. It is also important to note that a massive snowstorm is expected on the East Coast this weekend (an estimated 28″ where I am!), which may also dampen grosses substantially. Despite those forces working against the box office, though, the Oscar nominations and consequent expansions of many well-reviewed films should lead to some sturdy grosses in the lower rungs of the chart, especially from the Jeff Bridges showcase, Crazy Heart. After you’ve watched the video above, check below for my full weekend prediction chart!
|2||Dear John||3,066||$22.5 million|
|3||From Paris With Love||2,722||$15 million|
|4||Edge Of Darkness||3,066||$10 million|
|5||When In Rome||2,456||$7.5 million|
|6||Tooth Fairy||3,218||$7.2 million|
|7||The Book Of Eli||2,820||$4.6 million|
|8||Crazy Heart||819||$4 million|
|10||Sherlock Holmes||1,805||$2.8 million|
Here at TBOJ, I like to start each week with a little column called New And News, in which I take a quick look at the new movies entering theaters this week,and then share some of my favorite recent news stories that have caught my eye. This week, we’ve got a pair of new movies whose titles seem like they were meant to go together: Dear John and From Paris With Love. Couldn’t that be the opening and closing of a romantic letter from a girl named Paris? I think so. Anyway, the two movies couldn’t be more different thematically, and each is hoping to find an audience that could take down Avatar this weekend, though that’s probably not going to happen. Click inside for a preview of each film, as well as some news about Redbox stations, Paranormal Activity 2 controversy, and the continued bastardization of the Spider-Man franchise.
This movie has framed itself as a pure romance, which is a genre we rarely see at the box office- especially with young stars like Channing Tatum and Amanda Seyfried. None of the cutesy-fun humor of a romantic comedy seems to be present in Dear John, which tells the somber story of a college girl separated from her soldier boyfriend. As the title implies, the lovers write passionate letters back and forth to one another, and somehow, I’m sure they’ll be reunited in the end. Advertising has been very strong, and the song in the trailer is genuinely enthralling. I don’t know if there’s been better music in a trailer since “Jesus Walks” in the trailer for Jarhead. It’ll be interesting to see how Dear John does this weekend, but it could be a surprise box office hit.
Fresh off Edge Of Darkness‘ debut, we have yet another action movie with an older male actor in need of career boost. This time, a bald, goateed John Travolta is the man toting the gun, as he plays an American agent hoping to prevent a terrorist attack in France. With a similar film having just debuted and a pretty generic story, I wouldn’t expect From Paris With Love to do much better than Edge Of Darkness did last weekend.
Redbox kiosks and Netflix, with their gigantic collections of DVDs, have been making rather handy work of killing the DVD retail industry. Other retailers have refused to sell DVDs to Redbox employees, which allows people to rent films for just $1, but until now, Wal-Mart and Target have done so. Well, the two retail giants are finally taking sides, and according to Variety, they are now instituting a purchasing limit of 5 DVDs per customer, in an effort to combat Redbox collections being built so quickly. Interesting.
First they chose the same release date on October 22nd. Then, they chose the same director. Paramount wants Kevin Greutert to direct Paranormal Activity 2, but Lionsgate has also offered him Saw 3D. Right now, things are incredibly tense between the two studios, but someone’s going to win, someone’s going to lose, and either way, it’s going to get bloody. Deadline broke the news.
No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. NO!
In case you haven’t noticed, The Box Office Junkie looks a little bit different than it did a few days ago. I switched the template from two columns to three columns, and I hope you like the change! It just makes distribution of widgets and advertisements so much more manageable. Anyway, all the formatting and html tinkering has left me with very little time to get this weeks Weekend Preview together, so excuse me if it doesn’t measure up. At least it will be better than last week, when I just skipped this column altogether! Let’s just tackle the newcomers.
Obsessed – $20 million
Confession: I’m kind of obsessed (no pun intended!) with Beyoncé. I have this awkward habit of saying, “That’s so Beyoncé” whenever something awesome happens. It all started when my friends and I decided to start saying, “That’s so Raven,” to see if we could make a new, trendy phrase catch on. It didn’t, and after a few months I found myself constantly saying, “That’s so Beyoncé.” Oh well. Regardless, the former Destiny’s Child lead singer is pretty much a stud at everything she does, and it looks like she’s made a very wise career move with Obsessed, a woman-gone-mad drama also starring Ali Larter. This thriller has a lot going for it: The female leads should draw in women. The fact that the female leads wrestle on the floor should draw in men. Having black leads (Beyoncé’s husband is played by Idris Elba) will draw in ethnic audiences. The jury’s out on reviews, since it wasn’t screened for critics, but the Screen Gems feature has had a very strong marketing campaign, and frankly, I think it looks pretty great. Kicking and screaming onto 2,514 theaters, I’m giving Obsessed a solid $20 million weekend.
Earth – $12 million
I’m kind of over the whole “going green” thing. It’s just a little bit too liberal-Hollywood, self-important, politcally correct for me to buy the whole fad. Still, never willing to miss a moneymaking opportunity, Disney is tapping into the trend, releasing Earth, which is essentially a film crafted from some of the clips that weren’t used for Planet Earth. It had a great Wednesday debut of $4 million out of 1,804 theaters, but that was with the Earth Day boost. For the regular weekend, I’ll give Earth $12 million, which is about three times higher than what I would’ve predicted last week. Ugh. I guess all the “going green” stuff isn’t going away any time soon.
The Soloist – $11 million
Robert Downey Jr. and Jamie Foxx teamed up for this inspirational drama about a struggling, but extraordinarily talented, homeless musician. Director Joe Wright (Pride And Prejudice and Atonement) is receiving some mixed reviews for this, though the lead actors are receiving much praise. This musical project sort of reminds me of 2007’s August Rush, which audiences lapped up like liquid lollipops, and with a lauch into 2,024 theaters, I’m seeing a modest $11 million weekend, with some decent legs after that.
Fighting – $8.5 million
I’m not a girl. I have never watched Step Up. I don’t know to what extent teenage girls are willing to flock to the theater just to see Channing Tatum shirtless and physical. Thus, I reserve the right to be very wrong about this prediction. I also reserve the right to gloat if I’m correct. This looks almost exactly the same as last month’s teen fighting film, Never Back Down, which debuted to $8.6 million. This has a better lead actor, but it also has Terrence Howard, who is box office poison, so I’ll give it a similar $8.5 million over the weekend frame.
What do you all think? What will win the box office race this weekend? Also, did you know that the last week in April is historically one of the toughest frames for a film to debut in, since it falls right before the massive first week in May? Speak your mind in the comments!