Archive for the ‘Battle For Terra’ Category

Weekend Fix: Wolverine Starts Off With $87 Million, Leads A Solid Weekend At The Box Office

May 3, 2009

“Summer” is here! It was a very great weekend at the box office, as X-Men Origins: Wolverine started off very strong, Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past had a smaller, but still solid debut, and a slew of films landed in the $5 million range for the weekend. Alas, Battle For Terra, a movie that no one even knew about remained unknown over the weekend, with one of the worst debuts for a wide release in history, but the Top 12 at the box office was still able to stay exactly flat with last year. Check out the full report:

Gosh, what is there even left to write about Wolverine? I feel like it’s all I’ve done over the past few days. The Fox blockbuster continued the remarkable track record of superhero films at the box office, with a blazing $85.1 million opening weekend. Wolverine scored a hot $21,225 per theater average, but it didn’t outshadow every other film at the movies. Last year, when Iron Man opened to $98.6 million, the rest of the Top 12 earned $50 million. This year, against Wolverine‘s $85.1 million opening, the rest of the Top 12 found $65 million, which shows that we have much more depth at the cinema than last year. Now, Wolverine surely got off to a fantastic start, but it’s got a tough road ahead of it. First, there is the issue of frontloadedness. A $35 million Friday leaves Wolverine with an internal multiplier of 2.42, which doesn’t signify good legs. Then there’s the issue of Star Trek and Terminator: Salvation, which debut next week and then on May 21st, respectively. Both films will provide massive competition. Still, Wolverine should be able to make it to $200 million by the end of its run. Look for many more X-Men iterations in the years to come.

Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past, a Matthew McConaughey and Jennifer Garner romantic comedy, got off to a moderately good start this weekend, with $15.3 million and an alright $4,827 venue average. Last year, Made Of Honor, which starred Patrick Dempsey, debuted against Iron Man to $14.7 million, on its way to $46 million overall. It looks like Warner Brothers was going for about the same kind of result with Ghosts, and they got it. If we learned anything from P.S. I Love You, it’s that this kind of film is review-proof, so Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past should earn about $40-45 million overall with ease.

The only other new opener was Lionsgate’s Battle For Terra. The unknown 3-D sci-fi animated film earned $1.1 million from 1,162 theaters. That’s an $934 per theater average. That’s awful.

Among holdovers, Obsessed fell 57% to $12.2 million, for a fantastic total of $47 million after ten days, while 17 Again dropped 45% to $6.4 million, for a total of $48 million after seventeen. Monsters Vs. Aliens cotinued to show off its legs (tentacles?) with a great 32% decline to $5.8 million in its sixth weekend. It has earned $182 million thus far. It’s no surprise that Fighting fell the hardest in Top 12. A 62% fall gave the Channing Tatum drama a $4.1 million over the frame and $17.5 million overall. Also, Jamie Foxx’s American Idol appearance may have helped The Soloist fall just 42% this weekend, but Fast And Furious is not having such luck. After a $70 million opening a few weeks ago, the racing flick looks to be petering out around $150 million. Check out the full chart:

Top 12 Actuals For May 1-3

# Movie Title 3-Day Gross % Change AVG. Total
1 X-Men Origins: Wolverine $85,058,003 New $20,751 $85,058,003
2 Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past $15,411,434 -51% $4,854 $15,411,434
3 Obsessed $12,052,151 -57% $4,794 $46,854,485
4 17 Again $6,361,358 -45% $1,954 $48,503,817
5 Monsters Vs. Aliens $5,803,429 -32% $2,210 $182,407,971
6 The Soloist $5,654,558 -42% $2,781 $18,162,695
7 Earth $4,340,235 -53% $2,406 $22,004,284
8 Hannah Montana The Movie $4,164,185 -62% $1,477 $70,946,323
9 Fighting $4,011,465 -37% $1,735 $17,344,805
10 State Of Play $3,715,980 -47% $1,520 $30,944,180
11 Fast And Furious $2,763,875 -56% $1,085 $149,806,190
12 Battle For Terra $1,082,362 New $934 $1,082,362
All Numbers Provided By Exhibitor Relations Co.

Also, Gitesh Pandya (Box Office Guru) and Nicole Sperling (EW) won the Analysts Challenge this week! Their guesses of $85 million were the closest of anyone’s! Great work, guys!

Friday Estimates: Wolverine Slices Its Way To A $35 Million Friday

May 2, 2009

Steve Mason has posted his early Friday Estimates for May 1, 2009 over at Big Hollywood, and it looks like X-Men Origins: Wolverine has gotten off to a fantastic start with $34.75 million on its first day of release! I may have overestimated Wolverine‘s potential a tad bit, but it’s still headed for a phenomenal $85-90 million weekend, and a great start to the “Summer.” As a side note, I just saw the film (review can be read HERE), and it wasn’t great, but I totally had fun watching it. It definitely fits into the Era of Easy Entertainment. Also, Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past found a solid $6 million on Friday, and it should grab about $18 million over the frame, while Battle For Terra didn’t put up much of a fight at all, with a wretched $300,000 on Friday. Here are all the early Friday numbers:

Exclusive Steve Mason Early Friday Estimates
1.
X-Men Origins: Wolverine – $34.75M, $8,478 PTA, $34.75M cume
2. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past – $6M, $1,890 PTA, $6M
3. Obsessed – $4.2M, $1,671 PTA, $39M cume
4. 17 Again – $2.22M, $682 PTA, $44.36M cume
5. The Soloist – $1.7M, $836 PTA, $14.2M cume
6. Earth – $1.45M, $804 PTA, $19.11M cume
7. Monsters vs. Aliens – $1.41M, $537 PTA, $178M cume
8. Fighting – $1.4M, $608 PTA, $14.73M cume
9. State of Play – $1.28M, $527 PTA, $28.51M cume
10. Hannah Montana: The Movie – $1.1M, $390 PTA, $67.88M cume
*NEW – Battle For Terra – $300,000, $258 PTA, $300,000 cume

What do you think of this performance? And if you’ve seen Wolverine, did you like it? Let your inner animal rage in the comments!

Weekend Preview: Wolverine Slashes Into Theaters To The Start "Summer"

May 1, 2009

For whatever reason, somewhere over the course of the last few decades, a Hollywood executive must have thought it was a good idea to claim that the first week in May was the start of Summer movie season. Logical? No. Summer doesn’t actually begin for another 7 weeks, and I see no reason why the whole world should follow anything that Hollywood says, but for whatever reason, we’ve all bought into this lie, and its expected that the first film of the “Summer” (seriously, though, we aren’t even halfway through Spring!) will be huge. “Huge” would certainly be an appropriate term to describe this weekend last year, as Iron Man found $98.6 million in its opening weekend on its way to a $318 million finish. This year, the debut of X-Men Origins: Wolverine begs the question: Which is stronger, iron or adamantium? Also, Matthew McConaughey opens his latest romantic comedy, Ghosts of Girlfriends Past, and an animated movie I honestly know nothing about, Battle for Terra, hits screens.

Sorry Beyonce, but your brief reign atop the box office chart here ends with the opening of X-Men Origins: Wolverine. The rebellious Marvel character that Hugh Jackman popularized in the first three X-Men films gets his own treatment with Wolverine, which also serves as a foundation for the dozens of “Origins” spinoffs that Fox will instantly put into production if Wolverine breaks out. Advertising has been pervasive, and awareness is huge for Wolverine, and if the success of Fast And Furious is any indication, audiences are more than game for a loud, explosive action movie this year, and it doesn’t even matter if reviews aren’t great.. Some analysts have argued that audiences might be getting tired of Wolverine as a character after the trilogy of X-Men films, but in this Era of Easy Entertainment, comfortable familiarity is what sells, so I don’t think that should have a negative effect on box office. Wolverine is clawing its way into a whopping 4,099 theaters, and it should have no trouble trouncing the rest of the Top 12. Look for $96 million by the end of this weekend, and a greenlight for Magneto and Gambit by Monday.

With a film as huge as Wolverine hitting screens, everything else ends up seeming like an afterthought. Still, Warner Brothers may be able to find a decent gross for the rom-com Ghosts of Girlfirends Past, which stars Matthew McConaughey and Jennifer Garner. This is a classic example of counter-programming, and as The Devil Wears Prada showed us in 2006 when it debuted to $27 million against Superman Returns, there’s more than enough room for two big openers in one weekend. Personally, I don’t understand why people like McConaughey so much. He has always come across to me as smarmy, cocky, and dumb. Ladies, if that’s what you’re looking for in a man, then I’ve sadly got little to offer you. Despite my disapproval, though, McConaughey is a proven draw, and Garner makes for a likable romantic lead. Reviews are saying that the fantasy comedy is lacking in originality and humor, which is pretty much consistent with every other romantic comedy released these days, but advertising has been strong, and this provides women with an option other than Wolverine. Popping up in 3,175 theaters, Ghosts of Girlfriends Past could nab $20 million this weekend.

What the heck is Battle For Terra? I’ve seen literally no advertising for this Lionsgate release. With a little cyber-sleuthing, though, I’ve gathered that it’s a 3-D sci-fi animated film about a space war between aliens and humans. Reviews are only alright, there is zero awareness for this title, and similarly themed Monsters Vs. Aliens, even in its sixth week, will outshadow this one for sure. Terra zaps itself into just 1,159 theaters this weekend, and a gross of $3 million should result.

Among holdovers, we’ll probably see some larger-than-usual drops due to Wolverine‘s debut. Last week’s champ, Obsessed, which was destined to be front-loaded anyway, will probably fall by a steep 60% to about $11.5 million. Fighting has a lot working against it. It’s a teen film, which always signifies a big second weekend drop, and it’s an action film, which looks a lot less cool than Wolverine. The Channing Tatum feature might find $4.5 million. It will be interesting to see if Jamie Foxx’s non-sequitur appearance on American Idol this week will soften the second weekend drop for The Soloist. Still, unless there is some sort of divine intervention, The Soloist (with its $60 million pricetag) won’t be considered a hit. Give it $4.7 million as well. Disney’s re-edited version of the popular Planet Earth miniseries, Earth, actually has the best chance for a solid holdover this weekend. Appealing to families and intellectuals alike, Earth has been doing well during the week, and it might find $5.5 million over the weekend frame.

Predicted Top 12 For May 1-3, 2009
1. X-Men Origins: Wolverine – $96 million
2. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past – $20 million
3. Obsessed – $11.5 million
4. 17 Again – $6 million
5. Earth – $5.5 million
6. Monsters Vs. Aliens – $5.5 million
7. The Soloist – $4.7 million
8. Fighting – $4.5 million
9. State Of Play – $4 million
10. Hannah Montana The Movie – $3.6 million
11. Fast And Furious – $3.3 million
12. Battle For Terra – $3 million

How much do you think Wolverine will earn at the box office this weekend? Can it break the $100 million barrier? Put your predictions in the comments!