Archive for the ‘Avatar’ Category

Weekend Fix: Shutter Island Shuts Downs The Competition Easily!

February 21, 2010

Friday Estimates: Shutter Island Takes Off With $14.1 Million Friday; Everything Else Plummets!

February 20, 2010

Early Friday Estimates are starting to come in, and a few things are abundantly clear (box office figures are after the jump):

1. Shutter Island is off to a good start.  After months of negative buzz, massive delays, release date changes, and general confusion, Shutter Island actually landed on its feet! The Martin Scorsese/Leonardo DiCaprio collaboration earned a robust $14.1 million on Friday, and it could find $36-39 million over the weekend frame.

2. Valentine’s Day is really not all that impressive once Valentine’s Day has passed.  The romantic comedy, which has more stars than a heart-shaped box has chocolates, fell 61% from last Friday to $5.7 million.  A $16-18 million weekend should result.

3. Percy Jackson & The Olympians didn’t hold as well as it needed to in order to ensure a sequel.  The children’s fantasy fell 58% from last Friday to $4 million.  It recover a bit over the rest of the weekend, though, and find $16.5 million overall.

4. Everyone that really wanted to see The Wolfman did so last weekend.  The horror remake dropped an alarming 69% to $2.9 million, and after a solid debut last frame, it will have trouble reaching just $10 million this weekend.  Not good when you take into account the fact that Universal dropped $150 million to make this!

Except for last week’s openers, which are in complete free-fall, the box office performed pretty much as expected, though drops across the board were larger than expected.  Perhaps box office analysts underestimated just how much moviegoing increased over the President’s Day frame, and the inflated grosses of last weekend created unnaturally large decreases this time around.  Perhaps last week’s openers just had audiences that were very excited to rush out and see the films.  Who knows?  Either way, with drops so large, any semblance of “depth” is quickly disappearing from the box office, which is not a good thing for 2010.  Check out the full chart below.

Friday Estimates For February 18, 2010
1. Shutter Island – $14.1 million
2. Valentine’s Day – $5.7 million
3. Percy Jackson & The Olympians – $4 million
4. Avatar – $3.9 million
5. The Wolfman – $2.9 million
6. Dear John – $2.3 million
7. Tooth Fairy – $1.1 million
8. Crazy Heart – $765,000
9. From Paris With Love – $720,000
10. Edge Of Darkness – $615,000

Weekend Preview: Moviegoers Will Get Lost On Shutter Island

February 19, 2010

TBOJ is back in full force today, and it should stay that way for a while!  The video may be late, but I’m all done playing catch up.  This week, we only have one new film coming out, and that’s the highly anticipated Martin Scorsese picture Shutter Island, which should nab the top spot at the box office pretty easily.  To see my prediction for Shutter Island, as well as the rest of the Top 5, check out the video above.  Then, click below to see my full box office predictions for this weekend!

Box Office Predictions for February 19-21, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Shutter Island 2,991 $31 million
2 Valentine’s Day 3,665 $24 million
3 Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief 3,396 $20 million
4 Avatar 2,581 $18 million
5 The Wolfman 3,223 $15 million
6 Dear John 3,062 $8 million
7 Tooth Fairy 2,523 $4.4 million
8 Crazy Heart 1,089 $4.3 million
9 From Paris With Love 2,311 $3.8 million
10 Edge Of Darkness 2,118 $3.3 million

Weekend Fix: Dear John Takes Down Avatar! The Fangirls Strike Again!

February 7, 2010

Friday Estimates: Dear John Goes To Battle And Comes Out On Top!

February 6, 2010

Remember how I mentioned in yesterday’s video that I wouldn’t be totally surprised if Dear John managed to win the weekend?  Well, after a fantastic Friday, it looks like the romantic drama is going to! Dear John earned a tremendous $13.8 million yesterday, and where it heads from here is an interesting question.  I’m guessing Channing Tatum has a substantial number of teen fangirls, who rushed out on Friday to see this film, so it will be fairly frontloaded.  That being said, Dear John should hold better than most every other movie on Super Bowl Sunday.  All told, an awesome $31 million weekend is in store for Dear JohnAvatar came in second with $6.2 million, and while the sci-fi epic will finally give up the top spot, it will still only fall about 25% from last weekend to $23 million, lifting its total to $629 million.  From Paris With Love couldn’t even live up to lowered expectations, and the John Travolta shoot-em-up only grossed $3 million on Friday.  This should lead to a weak $8 million weekend, only slightly more than what Edge Of Darkness will earn in its second weekend.  Otherwise, there’s not too much to report, as things are performing pretty much as expected.  Crazy Heart broke into the Top 10 with $1.1 million on Friday, and the Oscar-nominated release might see a $3.3 million weekend.  Check below for full Friday box office estimates:

Friday Estimates For February 5, 2010
1. Dear John – $13.8 million
2. Avatar – $6.2 million
3. From Paris With Love – $3 million
4. Edge Of Darkness – $2.3 million
5. When In Rome – $2 million
6. Tooth Fairy – $1.7 million
7. The Book Of Eli – $1.5 million
8. Crazy Heart – $1.1 million
9. Legion – $1.1 million
10. Sherlock Holmes – $785,000

Weekend Preview: Dear John May Tackle Avatar Out Of The Top Spot During The Super Bowl

February 5, 2010

Could this finally be the week that Avatar rescinds the top spot on the chart?  I know I’ve asked that for the last few weeks, but the planets (Pandorum excluded) may be aligned in just the right way to push Avatar down to second place this frame.  The Super Bowl will draw males away from the theaters, and it may leave the romantic, female-targeting Dear John to take the box office by storm.  Still, Avatar hasn’t gone down yet, and there’s a good chance it will win the weekend again, so it’s going to be a fun, close one to watch!  The other newcomer, From Paris With Love, probably won’t have as much success, and the John Travolta action film will have a mid-level debut.  To hear my predictions of those new films, watch the video above.  As far as the holdovers go, drops are usually pretty small at this time of the year, though the Super Bowl will subtract a huge portion of audiences on Sunday.  It is also important to note that a massive snowstorm is expected on the East Coast this weekend (an estimated 28″ where I am!), which may also dampen grosses substantially.  Despite those forces working against the box office, though, the Oscar nominations and consequent expansions of many well-reviewed films should lead to some sturdy grosses in the lower rungs of the chart, especially from the Jeff Bridges showcase, Crazy Heart.  After you’ve watched the video above, check below for my full weekend prediction chart!

Box Office Predictions for February 5-7, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,000 $25 million
2 Dear John 3,066 $22.5 million
3 From Paris With Love 2,722 $15 million
4 Edge Of Darkness 3,066 $10 million
5 When In Rome 2,456 $7.5 million
6 Tooth Fairy 3,218 $7.2 million
7 The Book Of Eli 2,820 $4.6 million
8 Crazy Heart 819 $4 million
9 Legion 2,339 $3.4 million
10 Sherlock Holmes 1,805 $2.8 million

Weekend Fix: For A 7th Weekend, Avatar Tops Box Office; Outgrosses Edge Of Darkness And When In Rome COMBINED!

January 31, 2010

Another week, another victory for Avatar… As expected, Avatar easily dominated the competition, grossing a record-breaking $30 million in its seventh weekend!  If you had combined the opening numbers of Edge Of Darkness and When In Rome, they still couldn’t have taken down James Cameron’s sci-fi blockbuster.  The alien film now sits just $6 million shy of Titanic‘s record as the highest grossing film in the US of all time.  Overall, it was a fairly lackluster frame at the box office, despite the fact that drops were pretty small across the board (with the notable exception of Legion).  The Top 12 films were up 4% over the same weekend last year, but when you look at all films tracking, results were actually down 4%.  Tooth Fairy held very well, dropping a scant 29% to $10 million.  That would be much better news if the film had had a solid debut.  Unfortunately, it didn’t.  If 2010 hopes to build on 2009’s success, it will need to produce some legitimate hits pretty darn quick, because the December team of Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, Alvin, It’s Complicated, The Blind Side, and Up In The Air, can’t half of the revenue at the box office forever!  To see my thoughts on the weekend, watch the video above (posts in the afternoon).  Then check below for the full box office chart.

Top 12 Box Office Hits For January 22-24, 2010
Rank Movie Studio Theaters Weekend Gross
Chg AVG. Total
1
Avatar Fox 3074 $30,000,000 -14% $9,759 $594,472,387
2
Edge Of Darkness Warner Bros 3066 $17,120,000 New $5,584 $17,120,000
3
When In Rome Disney 2456 $12,065,000 New $4,912 $12,065,000
4
Tooth Fairy Fox 3345 $10,000,000 -29% $2,990 $26,106,278
5
The Book Of Eli Warner Bros 3075 $8,770,000 -44% $2,852 $74,373,000
6
Legion Sony 2476 $6,800,000 -61% $2,746 $28,646,000
7
The Lovely Bones Paramount 2638 $4,735,000 -44% $1,795 $38,014,000
8
Sherlock Holmes Warner Bros 2250 $4,510,000 -32% $2,004 $197,596,000
9
Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel Fox 2526 $4,000,000 -38% $1,584 $209,297,861
10
It’s Complicated Universal 2096 $3,720,400 -36% $1,775 $104,027,220
11
The Blind Side Warner Bros 1751 $3,020,000 -28% $1,725 $237,913,000
12
Up In The Air Paramount 1430 $2,700,000 -31% $1,888 $73,173,000
All Numbers Provided By Exhibitor Relations Co.

Friday Estimates: Here We Go Again… Edge Of Darkness Can’t Dethrone Avatar

January 30, 2010

Early Friday Estimates are coming in, and as predicted, Avatar will be the reigning champ at the box office once again this weekend.  I could spend a long time analyzing every single figure, but let me make things easy for you.  Here’s all you need to know: Avatar earned $7.5 million on Friday.  It should finish with $28-29 million.  Edge Of Darkness opened with an sub-par $5.7 million on Friday.  It should find just $17 million overall, which is below my expectations, showing that audiences are still turned off by Mel Gibson.  When In Rome earned a solid $4.4 million on Friday.  It should reach $13 million, which is slightly above my expectations.  Meanwhile, there weren’t too many surprises in the rest of the Top 10. Tooth Fairy fell 37% from last Friday to $2.3 million, while Legion plummeted 70% to $2 million. They should reach respective grosses of $9 million and $6.5 million this weekend.  My favorite news to report to you, though, is that Alvin And The Chipmunks and Sherlock Holmes should once again be beside each other on the box office chart come Sunday!  The December BFFs have been separated for the past two weeks, but nothing could keep them apart forever, and each of the enduringly popular films will gross about $3.5 million.  Check out the full Top 10 below:

Friday Estimates for January 29, 2010
1. Avatar – $7.5 million
2. Edge Of Darkness – $5.7 million
3. When In Rome – $4.4 million
4. The Book Of Eli – $2.5 million
5. Tooth Fairy – $2.3 million
6. Legion – $2 million
7. The Lovely Bones – $1.4 million
8. Sherlock Holmes – $1.2 million
9. It’s Complicated – $1 million
10. Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel – $810,000

Weekend Preview: Edge Of Darkness Aims To Shoot Down Avatar; When In Rome Just Hopes That Somebody Will Love It

January 29, 2010

Fellow box office junkies, this could be it.  The time may have come.  We may actually have a movie that can take the #1 spot from Avatar.  Will it happen?  Probably not, but we can dream, right? This week, two new films are entering theaters, and they couldn’t be more different.  On the one hand, we’ve got the relatively well reviewed, R-rated, revenge thriller Edge Of Darkness, and on the other hand, we have the critically savaged romantic comedy When In Rome.  Despite the new openers, though, the box office should once again look pretty similar to last week, since 2010 really hasn’t produced any spectacularly box office performers yet.  Avatar will probably stay on top, though last week’s #2 movie, Legion, will plummet.  Tooth Fairy and Extraordinary Measures might hold a little bit better, but overall, this isn’t going to be the most exciting weekend at the movies.  To see my predictions of the new wide releases (and hear some analysis of Christian movie To Save A Life as well), watch the video above (it’s coming), and then check below for my full box office predictions.

Box Office Predictions for January 29-31, 2010
Rank Movie Theaters Predicted Gross
1 Avatar 3,074 $28 million
2 Edge Of Darkness 3,066 $25 million
3 When In Rome 2,456 $9.2 million
4 Tooth Fairy 3,345 $9 million
5 The Book Of Eli 3,075 $8.8 million
6 Legion 2,476 $6.5 million
7 The Lovely Bones 2,638 $5 million
8 Sherlock Holmes 2,250 $4.4 million
9 Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 2,526 $4.1 million
10 It’s Complicated 2,096 $3.9 million

Weekend Fix: Avatar Wins For A Sixth Weekend, Doubling Legion’s Surprise #2 Debut

January 24, 2010