Best Motion Picture – Drama
Best Actress – Drama
Julie Christie Away From Her
Best Actor – Drama
Daniel Day-Lewis There Will Be Blood
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Best Actress – Musical or Comedy
Marion Cotillard La Vie En Rose
Julian Schnabel The Diving Bell And The Butterfly
The first weekend of 2008 got the year off to good start, continuing the solid weekend performances that the box office has had for the last three weeks. Of course, the holidays are pretty much over now, and the Top 12’s box office fell an expected 27% from last weekend, but with only one new film opening, the Top 12 films still managed to gross a collective $123.9 million, which represents a great 19% increase over the first weekend of last year.
Top 12 for January 4-6
|#||Movie Title||Weekend Gross||Total|
|1||National Treasure: Book of Secrets||$20,225,000||$171,033,000|
|2||I Am Legend||$16,380,000||$228,718,000|
|4||Alvin and the Chipmunks||$16,000,000||$176,737,736|
|5||One Missed Call||$13,525,000||$13,525,000|
|6||Charlie Wilson’s War||$8,184,070||$52,630,360|
|7||P.S. I Love You||$8,015,000||$39,383,000|
|8||The Water Horse||$6,300,000||$30,893,000|
|11||Alien Vs. Predator: Requiem||$4,250,000||$36,820,839|
|12||The Great Debaters||$4,245,000||$22,007,817|
All Numbers Courtesy of Exhibitor Relations Co. Inc.
Well, it looks like the holidays are coming to an end. While the box office isn’t behaving especially poorly, everything except Juno, Atonement, and (based on low expectations) One Missed Call is just average or a little bit underwhelming.
National Treasure: Book of Secrets will lead for the third weekend in a row, and on Friday the treasure-hunters found $6.4 million. A $19 million weekend seems likely.
One Missed Call and I Am Legend both pulled in $5.2 million on Friday, but they should finish about $3 million apart. One Missed Call, which now has some shockingly bad reviews, was marketed almost exclusively to teens. It will be very front-loaded should finish with $13 million. I Am Legend, which has already proven its longevity, will pull in a much better $16 million.
Juno continued to exceed its buzz, earning a great $5.2 million on Friday. The indie comedy can’t seem to do anything wrong during its run, and even in almost 2,000 theaters, it will have a very good per theater average of about $7,500! Look for a $15 million weekend. Atonement also fared well in it expansion, pulling in a solid $1.5 million yesterday. It should slightly exceed my prediction of $4.2 million, setting itself up for a truckload of awards.
Everything else performed pretty much as expected, so there’s not much to report, but to see the final weekend grosses, check back in tomorrow for the Weekend Fix.
Friday Estimates for January 4
1. National Treasure: Book of Secrets – $6.4 million
2. I Am Legend – $5.2 million
3. One Missed Call – $5.2 million
4. Juno – $5.2 million
5. Alvin and the Chipmunks – $4.6 million
6. P.S. I Love You – $2.6 million
7. Charlie Wilson’s War – $2.5
8. The Water Horse – $1.9 million
9. Sweeney Todd – $1.8 million
10. Atonement – $1.5 million
11. Alien Vs. Predator – $1.4 million
12. The Great Debaters – $1.2 million
In the first weekend of 2008, with just one new film opening, the box office will have to rely on holdovers to sustain the great grosses of the holiday season. Still, 2008’s offerings should have no trouble outgrossing 2007’s first weekend, when Night At The Museum was on top. This year, National Treasure: Book of Secrets should top the box office for a third weekend in a row, but Alvin and the Chipmunks could be some stiff competition. Newcomer One Missed Call hopes to break out, while Atonement and Juno receive major expansions.
Predicted Top 12 for January 4-6
1. National Treasure: Book of Secrets – $21 million
2. Alvin and the Chipmunks – $19 million
3. I Am Legend – $16 million
4. Juno – $14 million
5. Charlie Wilson’s War – $8 million
6. One Missed Call – $8 million
7. P.S. I Love You – $6.1 million
8. The Water Horse – $5.5 million
9. Sweeney Todd – $4.6 million
10. Alien Vs. Predator – $4.5 million
11. Enchanted – $4.2 million
12. Atonement – $4.2 million
The Golden Globes nominations were announced this week, and there are definitely some things that make me very happy! Atonement led the pack with 7 nominations, and got nominated in all 5 major categories: Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, Actress. Charlie Wilson’s War, the Tom Hanks and Julia Roberts film coming out next weekend, garnered 5. No Country For Old Men got 4, and Michael Clayton, the annual politically-conscious George Clooney movie, got 4 as well.
Uh oh. The box office is not in good shape right now. The Golden Compass, the only new wide release, looks like it’s going to undercut my prediction substantially. It earned $8.8 million on Friday, but it probably won’t have a great weekend multiplier, due to fanboys who rushed out to see the adaptation on its first day. This is not good news for New Line, who spent $150 million to make the film, and that’s not including advertising costs. A $25 million weekend is a terrible result, but that’s where The Golden Compass looks headed. Alright- I’m declaring it now, Nicole Kidman is box office poison. For the life of me, I can’t figure out why her salary is $10-15 million per movie, when all her movies perform so poorly! Look at her last three films she’s acted in: Bewitched: $63 million ($80 million budget). Fur: An Imaginary Portrait of Diane Arbus: $0.2 million. The Invasion: $6 million ($80 million budget). All of these were huge financial busts. Granted, The Golden Compass‘ sub-par start can’t really be blamed on her, but I’m just saying, she isn’t as bankable as you would think an Oscar-winning actress should be.