Archive for the ‘Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel’ Category
Friday Estimates: Book Of Eli Wins Friday, But Avatar Should Win Weekend; The Lovely Bones Starts Off Strong, Spy Next Door Doesn’tJanuary 16, 2010
Early Friday estimates are in, and for the
first second third time in 28 days, Avatar was dethroned atop the box office chart. (Sherlock Holmes and Alvin took the top spot on their opening days…) The Book of Eli was the film to finally topple it, and the apocalyptic action movie got off to a good start on Friday, earning $11.7 million, while Avatar found $10.5 million. It will be a tight race to #1 for the weekend, but because The Book Of Eli is a new release, it should be a bit more frontloaded. For the four-day weekend Eli might take in $39 million, while Avatar takes in $42 million.
The Lovely Bones had a surprisingly strong debut, grossing a very good $5.7 million on Friday. I think the other analysts scared me away from a better prediction. Everyone was saying this would flop, and I hesitated to guess a higher gross. Still, all the pieces were in place for a good box office run: strong advertising, Peter Jackson, and extremely popular source material. Oh well, it’s water under the bridge, or blood under the bones, or whatever at this point. It should earn about $21 million over the four-day weekend.
The Spy Next Door found just $2.3 million on Friday. (fail)
Sherlock and Alvin are both headed for something around a $13 million weekend, while all the other holdovers are performing jsut as expected. Check out the full Friday Estimates below:
Early Friday Estimates for January 15, 2010
1. The Book Of Eli – $11.7 million
2. Avatar – $10.5 million
3. The Lovely Bones – $5.7 million
4. Sherlock Holmes – $2.9 million
5. Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel – $2.6 million
6. It’s Complicated – $2.4 million
7. The Spy Next Door – $2.3 million
8. Leap Year – $1.9 million
9. The Blind Side – $1.6 million
10. Up In The Air – $1.5 million
Friday Estimates: Daybreakers Opens Solidly, But Avatar Still 2x Ahead Of Everything Else In 4th WeekendJanuary 9, 2010
Some very early Friday box office estimates have rolled in, and if you’re getting tired of me writing the same column over and over again, than you may want to stop reading. To no one’s surprise, Avatar once again topped the chart, and as predicted, it’s falling a bit more softly than the rest of the titles. With $13.3 million on Friday, Fox’s sci-fi epic is headed for a $45 million weekend, the largest 4th weekend ever at the box office, and a $425 million total by Sunday. The other December releases are still earning a lot, as well. Sherlock Holmes will take second place for the weekend, with a projected $17 million gross, and Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel, is headed for a $14 million weekend, and a likely third place. Still, you and I have both heard this before, so in the interest of being interesting, let’s get to the newcomers…
Daybreakers came in second on Friday, sucking up $5.9 million worth of tickets. Because it plays to such a niche audience, the vampire thriller is sure to be frontloaded, and it will slip into third or fourth place by the end of the frame with a $13.8 million weekend. Leap Year wasn’t quite as lucky. The Amy Adams romantic comedy earned $3.3 million on Friday, and a $9.5 million weekend should result. Youth In Revolt slightly exceeded my low expectations with $2.7 million on Friday. The teen sex comedy will probably experience some frontloadedness, since it plays to such a young audience (who love to rush out to the movies every Friday night), Youth In Revolt may find $6.5 million this weekend. Check out the full Friday box office below:
Early Friday Estimates for January 8, 2010
1. Avatar – $13.3 million
2. Daybreakers – $5.9 million
3. Sherlock Holmes – $5.1 million
4. Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel – $3.4 million
5. Leap Year – $3.2 million
6. It’s Complicated – $3.1 million
7. Youth In Revolt – $2.7 million
8. The Blind Side – $2.2 million
9. Up In The Air – $2 million
10. The Princess And The Frog – $954,000
Weekend Preview: Daybreakers, Leap Year, And Youth In Revolt Unlikely To Dethrone December TriumvirateJanuary 8, 2010
After a week of no new releases, three films enter theaters today. We’ve got the vampire thriller Daybreakers, the romantic comedy Leap Year, and the sex comedy Youth In Revolt. While at least two of these films should fare pretty well at the box office, none of them are likely to dethrone the über-popular triumvirate of Avatar, Sherlock Holmes, and Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel, which have been unstoppable since late December. Now that the holidays are officially over, expect drops in the 50% range for most returning films, though Avatar should see a bit softer of a fall, as it’s becoming quite the phenomenon around the world. Check out the video above to hear my predictions for the newcomers, then check out the chart below to see my full weekend forecast:
|2||Sherlock Holmes||4,124||$18 million|
|3||Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel||2,088||$17 million|
|5||Leap Year||2,546||$12 million|
|6||It’s Complicated||3,220||$8.8 million|
|7||Youth In Revolt||3,425||$6.2 million|
|8||The Blind Side||1,915||$6 million|
|9||Up In The Air||2,503||$5.6 million|
|10||Planet 51||2,904||$5.1 million|
What a weekend this is shaping up to be! I did not expect Sherlock Holmes to garner these sorts of huge numbers, but the Guy Ritchie reboot has found a major audience on Christmas Day. The detective/action hero movie found a massive
$24 $25 million on Friday, but will it be able to hold off Avatar, which earned the same amount, over the rest of the weekend? I don’t think so…
It’s a bit hard to say how movies will do over the rest of the weekend because there hasn’t been a Christmas Day on a Friday in about twenty years. On top of that, the trend of going to the movies on Christmas is relatively recent- it wasn’t always a huge day at the box office! Now, it’s one of the biggest of the year! That being said, speculating about the box office is what I do best, so here’s my take on the weekend:
Avatar has already been out for a week, so the die-hard fans have had their chance to see it. On top of that, the word-of-mouth is amazing. (Even my grandparents were talking about it yesterday!) Therefore, it should see a more typical Saturday box office increase than Sherlock Holmes will. If Avatar see’s a 2.9 weekend multiplier (reduced because of the Christmas Day bump), it will earn a fantastic $70 million this weekend. Sherlock Holmes can probably manage a 2.6 multiplier, which would give the flick a pretty great $64 million start.
That movie about chipmunks (I won’t mention its name) managed to steal $12 million worth of tickets from the American public, which, let’s be honest, is a travesty. After grossing $27 million on Wednesday and Thursday, a weekend of $37 million is probably in order. That makes me very sad, especially because it knocked The Princess And The Frog‘s box office down to just $2 million on Friday. Disney isn’t happy, I’m sure.
But the movies weren’t totally dominated by young people this weekend! Adult fare did pretty well too! It’s Complicated earned $7.5 million on Friday, and the Meryl Streep and Alec Baldwin rom-com could see $22 million over the weekend. That’s certainly better than Did You Hear About The Morgans? did last weekend. Up In The Air, riding high on awards buzz, grossed $4 million in its first Friday in wide release. A $12 million weekend should result. Nine failed to really break out on Friday, grossing just $2.2 million. Perhaps it was the mixed reviews that did Nine in, or maybe it was the fact that the advertisements failed to explain what this movie was about. Either way, a $6 million weekend isn’t anything to sing about. Check out the full Friday box office chart below, and for more box office updates, follow me on Twitter!
Early Friday Estimates for December 25, 2009
1. Sherlock Holmes – $24 million
2. Avatar – $24 million
3. Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Squeakuel – $12 million
4. It’s Complicated – $7.5 million
5. Up In The Air – $4 million
6. The Blind Side – $4 million
7. Nine – $2.2 million
8. The Princess And The Frog – $2 million
9. Did You Hear About The Morgans – $1.6 million
10. Invictus – $1.3 million
It’s Monday, which means it’s time for New And News, where I preview this week’s new releases and highlight some of my favorite news stories over the past week. Since it is the week of Christmas, Hollywood has decided to give American theaters a whole bunch of presents: three new wide releases debut on Christmas Day, and two other films will see major wide release expansions. We’ve got grandiose musicals, detective superheroes, animated chipmunks, elderly affairs, and a whole lot of frequent flyer miles to talk about. And that’s just the New! Let’s get started…
The fact that the original Alvin And The Chipmunks earned $244 million in 2007 is so unbelievable to me, that I almost don’t want to talk about it. I’m usually all about the middle-American, widely appealing movies, but I just can’t get behind these one-joke, gimmicky, poorly animated films. The trailer for this one features more high-pitched chipmunk voices, dancing girl chipmunks, and utterly inconsequential plot lines. I try to be impartial, but I’m truly hoping this will under-perform. Bah humbug!
Robert Downey Jr, Jude Law, and Rachel McAdams star in this Guy Ritchie new adaptation of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle’s iconic detective. Warner Brothers is clearly hoping to launch a major franchise here, as they’ve re-imagined Sherlock as an action hero. A hefty $80 million was spent on the film, and despite buzz amongst movie buffs, I get the feeling Sherlock Holmes probably won’t break out the way the studio is hoping. (It looks a little bit too much like Van Helsing…) Reviews are solid, though, and I would love to see this take down the chipmunks.
Any time an actress above the age of 50 gets a role, I’m happy. It’s simply not fair that older women aren’t represented at the box office. Unfortunately for most older actresses, though, Meryl Streep takes 98% of these roles. It’s Complicated follows Alec Baldwin and Meryl Streep, a bitterly divorced couple. Over time, Baldwin marries a much younger woman, and Streep begins dating Steve Martin. The comedy in this movie comes when Streep, in a drunken state, ends up sleeping with her ex-husband, which begins an extended affair with him! The concept is absolutely fantastic, so I wish the reviews were a bit better, but on the heels of Did You Hear About The Morgans?‘s poor performance, It’s Complicated should provide a better choice romantic comedy fans.
George Clooney stars as a jet-setting business man who spends most of his life in the air, but his life changes when he finds himself suddenly smitten with a fellow traveler, Vera Farmiga. Riding the wave of awards buzz, this has done very well in limited release thus far, having already earned almost $9 million in limited release. With a major expansion on Friday, I’d expect Up In The Air to about double its total this weekend.
Nine (Weinstein) – 1,500 theaters – Reviews
Rob Marshall, director of Chicago and Dreamgirls, brings Nine, yet another musical, to the screen. With a cast that is adored by Hollywood, featuring Daniel Day Lewis, Kate Hudson, Nicole Kidman, and Fergie, the movie world is extremely excited about Nine. However, reviews are below average, and the ads have given absolutely no sense of the story. Like so much of Marshall’s work, this looks more about style than substance. I’m not thinking this will be be a major box office success.
I was crushed when the director of X-Men and X2: X-Men United decided not to direct X-Men: The Last Stand… we were so close to having a great trilogy! Thankfully, though, Bryan Singer has decided to direct the latest Marvel spinoff, X-Men: First Class. I can’t wait!
Reshoots usually mean a movie is not good. Adding 3D effects is often nothing more than a desperate attempt to make more money. Therefore, when news comes out that Warner Brothers’ Clash Of The Titans is reshooting and attempting to add 3D to a movie just six months before its release, it tells me that this movie is destined to be a disaster.
After coming out of nowhere and earning an amazing $277 million this Summer, The Hangover was all but guaranteed to have a sequel. CHUD reports that the next film will probably take place in Thailand, taking up a storyline that wasn’t used in Old School 2, which never saw the light of day.